Science Applications Intl Corp (SAIC)
NASDAQIndustrialsInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$126.75+0.20%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SAIC
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $127 SAIC trades at 11× p/e, below its 27× p/e peer median. Our $158 fair value sits above the price. We hold it with medium confidence: the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks and quality doesn't explain valuation multiples in this sub-industry, so the peer comparison is a weak guide. Analysts target $95–$154. Note: our $158 fair value sits above the entire analyst range ($95–$154). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $121.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $608.07 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $573.31 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $36.34 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$95.00 – $154.00 (median $121.00) · 6 analysts · as of 2026-09-01
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3, 2027-Q1, 2027-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $92.93 |
| — |
| — |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $178.69 | 13.6 | 17.17 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $216.58 | 15.4 | 14.09 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $306.89 | 26.8 | 11.44 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $298.10 | 1.7 | 172.94 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $71.62 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $118.98 | 10.4 | 11.44 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $330.40 | 26.8 | 12.32 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $277.87 | 15.4 | 18.08 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $299.69 | 26.8 | 11.17 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $263.08 | 1.7 | 152.63 | guidance | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $116.18 | 10.4 | 11.17 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $328.09 | 15.4 | 21.34 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $294.98 | 26.8 | 11.00 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $242.05 | 1.7 | 140.43 | guidance | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $114.36 | 10.4 | 11.00 | Analyst | medium |