Science Applications Intl Corp (SAIC)
NASDAQIndustrialsInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$150.45-0.75%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SAIC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 0.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -0.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 0.4 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 24 industry peers
SAIC — debt issuance
Dated 2026-11-02
Other Events. On November 2, 2026, Science Applications International Corporation (the “Company”) announced that it commenced and subsequently priced a private offering to eligible purchasers of $500 million aggregate principal amount of Senior Notes due 2034 (the “Notes”), subject to market and certain other conditions (the “Offering”). The Company intends to use the net proceeds from the Offering to redeem all of its outstanding 4.875% Senior Notes due 2028 (the “2028 Notes”) and to pay est…
Why it matters: The new five-year contract adds work for SAIC's Civilian group. SAIC names orders when task work is awarded.
Supportive ifSAIC reports funded task work or bookings tied to the $740M Customs and Border Protection contract.
Worry ifSAIC reports no task work or bookings from the contract in its next two earnings reports.
Why it matters: The new CFO will take charge as SAIC works toward its sales, profit, and cash goals. His first reports can show how the handoff goes.
Watch forSAIC confirms Crews takes the CFO role on December 7 and keeps its FY2027 guidance in the next report.
Also watch forSAIC delays the CFO handoff or cuts FY2027 guidance in its next report.
Why it matters: SAIC raised its sales and profit outlook in August. The next report can show if that progress lasts.
Watch forOn December 3, SAIC keeps or raises FY2027 revenue guidance of $7.2B–$7.3B and adjusted EPS guidance of $10.65–$10.75.
Also watch forOn December 3, SAIC cuts FY2027 revenue below $7.2B or adjusted EPS below $10.65.
Why it matters: SAIC made $577M in free cash flow in FY2026. It has set a higher goal for FY2027.
Supportive ifSAIC reports FY2027 free cash flow above $600M, its stated goal.
Worry ifSAIC reports FY2027 free cash flow at or below $600M.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$106 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $300 loss on $10,000 · 3.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,783 loss on $10,000 · 27.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.