Boston Beer Company (SAM)
NYSEConsumer StaplesBeverages - AlcoholicSnapshot 2026-09-04
NYSEConsumer StaplesBeverages - AlcoholicSnapshot 2026-09-04
Research Workspace
Put SAM beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Staples is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Operating income improves from -$190.5M in Q1 2026: FY26 EPS guidance -6.23 to -4.23 vs break-even target.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 6% over the past year.
View GrowthManagement screens weak on earnings delivery, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 2% a day.
View RiskBoston Beer Company (SAM) must improve operating income to justify its current price. Revenue has declined, and the latest earnings miss raised concerns about future performance. SAM trades at 23× P/E versus a peer median of 17×. This premium suggests that the market expects more growth than is currently reflected. If SAM cuts guidance after recently raising it, that would damage credibility and lead to a significant stock drop. Peer multiples imply a price about 21% above where it trades. Our read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. SAM is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 13 analysts currently covering SAM (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 8 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for SAM in the last 4 months.
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Compare SAM with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAM Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Consumer Staples (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put SAM next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Q2 miss raises concerns about future performance.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $168.78
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $168.78.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Market share losses could hinder revenue growth.

Threatens: Focus on improving operating income
Weaker Q2 results impact operating income improvement objective.
Threatens: Focus on improving operating income
Headwinds affect operating income improvement efforts.
Threatens: Focus on improving operating income
Lower profit and sales decline hinder operating income improvement.
Advances: Focus on improving operating income
Improved industry data supports operating income goals.
Litigation expenses threaten financial outlook and cash flow.
Threatens: Increase cash from operating activities
Lower EPS guidance indicates cash flow challenges.