Service Corp Intl (SCI)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryPersonal Products & ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$82.21-0.69%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryPersonal Products & ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SCI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 35.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 4.4% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 31.2 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 7 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SCI — dividend update
Dated 2026-08-05
Regulation FD Disclosure On August 5, 2026, the Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of thirty-six cents per share of common stock. The attached Exhibit 99.1 is not filed, but is furnished to comply with Regulation FD. The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including the exhibit, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Secur…
Why it matters: An increase would show a strong commitment to giving value to shareholders and financial health.
Supportive ifBoard declares a quarterly cash dividend greater than $0.36 per share.
Worry ifBoard maintains or reduces the quarterly cash dividend at $0.36 per share.
Why it matters: More cash flow shows strong operations. It helps with future investments and dividends.
Supportive ifNet cash from operations is over $1,085 million.
Worry ifNet cash from operations drops below $1,175 million.
Why it matters: Reaching the share repurchase goal shows confidence in the company's value and supports share price.
Supportive ifThe company announces share buybacks of $600 million.
Worry ifShare buybacks are much less than $600 million.
Why it matters: These results will show if cash flow from operations remains strong and if growth is steady.
Watch forEarnings report shows cash flow from operations above $150 million.
Also watch forEarnings report shows cash flow from operations below $100 million.
Why it matters: A drop below this level would show weaker cash flow. This would hurt growth plans.
Worry ifNet cash from operations falls below $1,005 million in 2026.
Less concerning ifNet cash from operations stays above $1,005 million in 2026.
Why it matters: Confirming the earnings guidance shows the company is on track for growth. This helps investors gauge future performance.
Supportive ifManagement confirms adjusted earnings per share guidance within the range of $4.10 to $4.30.
Worry ifManagement lowers the earnings per share guidance to below $4.10.
Why it matters: Strong cash flow supports ongoing investments and dividend payments. It shows operational strength and financial health.
Supportive ifQuarterly cash flow from operations is over $300 million.
Worry ifQuarterly cash flow from operations falls below $250 million.
Why it matters: A steady dividend increase shows that the company is strong. It also shows care for shareholders.
Supportive ifThe Board will raise the quarterly dividend to more than $0.36 per share.
Worry ifThe Board decides to keep the dividend at $0.36 or lower.
Why it matters: If revenue growth slows, it may signal a change in the sector's growth phase. This could affect future earnings.
Worry ifRevenue growth falls below the median for the last two quarters.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth remains above the median for the last two quarters.
Why it matters: A bigger drop would show ongoing problems in the funeral segment. This affects overall earnings.
Worry ifFuneral service volumes decline more than 6% year over year in Q3.
Less concerning ifFuneral service volumes stabilize or grow year over year in Q3.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$103 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $225 loss on $10,000 · 2.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,161 loss on $10,000 · 21.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.