374Water Inc (SCWO)
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - Pollution & Treatment ControlsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$2.53-0.39%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - Pollution & Treatment ControlsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SCWO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 864.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -49.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 913.5 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 1 industry peers
SCWO — earnings in line
Dated 2026-03-31
of this Current Report, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “ Exchange Act ”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing made by the Company under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.
Why it matters: The factory test is done, but delivery and later work unlock the rest of the contract cash and sales.
Supportive ifThe company reports delivery and setup at OC San. It then bills the remaining $2.6 million as it meets contract steps.
Worry ifDelivery or setup is late, or the company says it cannot bill the remaining $2.6 million.
Why it matters: A paid follow-on would show that the pilot can turn into repeat service work.
Supportive ifThe company reports the St. Cloud pilot is complete and names a follow-on service contract or added work.
Worry ifThe pilot ends without a new contract, or the company says completion is delayed.
Why it matters: The company lost $2.7 million in Q2 and had $1.8 million in cash at June 30. Higher cash use could raise pressure to find funding.
Worry ifThe Q3 report shows operating cash use above $2.7 million for the quarter, or new financing to cover cash needs.
Less concerning ifThe Q3 report shows operating cash use below $2.7 million and no new financing.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$281 on $10,000 · ±2.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $903 loss on $10,000 · 9.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,922 loss on $10,000 · 59.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.