SandRidge Energy, Inc. (SD)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-09-04
$14.33+0.14%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SD
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 12.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -3.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 16.7 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name operates in a high-miss-rate industry and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 37 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SD — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-05
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On August 5, 2026, SandRidge Energy, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing financial and operational results for the period ended June 30, 2026. The press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1, which is incorporated herein by reference.
Why it matters: A pickup in revenue growth could signal a shift back to growth for the sector. This would help SandRidge's position in a mature market.
Supportive if3-year revenue growth rate increases above 2% year over year.
Worry if3-year revenue growth rate remains at or below 2%.
Why it matters: Steady dividends show good financial health. They also show a promise to give back to shareholders.
Supportive ifThe Board declares dividends at the same or higher levels in upcoming quarters.
Worry ifIf the Board cuts or stops the dividend, it shows financial trouble.
Why it matters: Strong cash flow supports financial stability and growth. It shows how well the company manages its operations.
Supportive ifOperational cash flow is over $19.76 million in Q2.
Worry ifOperational cash flow is below $15 million in Q2.
Why it matters: Keeping the capex guidance shows SandRidge's commitment to disciplined spending. This is key for future growth.
Supportive ifThe company says its capital spending guidance is between $76 million and $97 million.
Worry ifThe company lowers its capital spending guidance from the previous range.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$133 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $383 loss on $10,000 · 3.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,536 loss on $10,000 · 25.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Keeping capital spending between $76 million and $97 million shows good money management. This helps future growth and stability.
Supportive ifCapital spending guidance stays within the range of $76 million to $97 million.
Worry ifGuidance is revised down below $76 million.
Why it matters: Paying dividends shows a focus on giving back money. It also shows financial health.
Supportive ifDividends are paid as scheduled on June 1, 2026.
Worry ifDividends are delayed or stopped.
Why it matters: Strong cash flow is vital for SandRidge's financial health. It affects future investments and stability.
Supportive ifThe company reports cash flow above $19.76 million.
Worry ifCash flow drops below $19.76 million.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show financial health and success. This can affect investor trust.
Watch forEarnings were better than expected. This shows strong financial health.
Also watch forEarnings did not meet expectations. This suggests possible financial problems.
Why it matters: A steady or higher dividend shows good cash flow and focus on returns.
Supportive ifThe Board declares a dividend at or above $0.13 per share for Q4 2026.
Worry ifThe Board cuts the dividend below $0.13 per share, indicating cash flow concerns.
Why it matters: Production growth shows success in operations and drilling. It also affects revenue and cash flow.
Supportive ifQ3 production averages over 19.7 MBoe per day. This continues the upward trend.
Worry ifQ3 production drops below 19.7 MBoe per day. This shows operational challenges.
Why it matters: Steady production growth shows that the one-rig plan is working well.
Supportive ifQ3 production growth is over 10% from last year. This shows success.
Worry ifQ3 production growth is under 5% from last year. This suggests possible problems.
Why it matters: The dividend increase shows that management wants to give money back to investors. This may change how investors feel.
Supportive ifThe stock price stays steady or goes up after the dividend payment on June 1, 2026.
Worry ifThe stock price goes down after the dividend payment. This shows negative feelings.
Why it matters: This acquisition will grow SandRidge's production and assets. It will help future growth.
Supportive ifThe acquisition closes as planned in Q3 2026, adding ~3.0 MBoed production.
Worry ifThe acquisition does not close or is delayed beyond Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Keeping or raising the dividend shows good cash flow. It also shows smart spending.
Supportive ifThe Board declares a dividend of $0.13 per share or higher in the next quarter.
Worry ifThe Board cuts the dividend below $0.13 per share.
Why it matters: Adjusted EBITDA trends show how well the company runs. They also show cash flow.
Watch forAdjusted EBITDA is over $34 million in Q3 2026.
Also watch forAdjusted EBITDA falls below $34 million in Q3 2026.