SolarEdge (SEDG)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySolarSnapshot 2026-09-04
$34.20+1.18%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySolarSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SEDG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -50.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 7.5% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 57.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Worth watching into the next print: this name operates in a high-miss-rate industry and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 9 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SEDG — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-05
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 5, 2026, SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the second quarter of 2026, ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, this information, including the exhibits hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Se…
Why it matters: A successful rollout would help growth. It shows management cares about innovation.
Watch forPositive customer feedback or sales growth is linked to the Nexis platform.
Also watch forNo big sales growth or negative feedback about the Nexis platform.
Why it matters: The new CFO's work is key for keeping finances in check. A smooth change can help investors feel good.
Watch forThe new CFO shows strong leadership and good financial skills in early reports.
Also watch forA change in leadership causes problems. It can lead to bad financial results.
Why it matters: Meeting or exceeding guidance would show strong demand and execution in a tough market.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue was $340 million or more. This shows strong demand.
Worry ifQ2 revenue was less than $325 million. This shows ongoing challenges.
Why it matters: The new CFO's plans may change how the company spends money and works.
Watch forBetter financial metrics or cost cuts are linked to the new CFO's plans.
Also watch forThe company still faces losses and problems even with the new CFO.
Why it matters: This guidance will show if SolarEdge can keep growing despite market challenges.
Watch forQ3 revenue guidance meets or exceeds the midpoint of $325 million.
Also watch forQ3 revenue guidance falls below $310 million.
Why it matters: Changes in leadership can affect where a company goes. They can also change how investors feel. Good communication is important.
Watch forThe new CFO has a clear plan for finances. This makes investors feel more secure.
Also watch forThe change can cause uncertainty or confusion about the financial plan.
Why it matters: Updates on the Nexis platform would show if SolarEdge is on track with its growth strategy.
Supportive ifManagement gives an update on how the Nexis platform is being used.
Worry ifThere is no update or bad news about the Nexis platform.
Why it matters: This margin shows if SolarEdge can make money while growing sales.
Watch forNon-GAAP gross margin meets or exceeds 26%.
Also watch forNon-GAAP gross margin falls below 22%.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth is key for the company's money health. It also helps investor trust.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth reported above 10% year over year.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth reported below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Progress on the AI data-center roadmap shows there is potential for growth.
Supportive ifManagement talks about the goals met in the AI data-center plan.
Worry ifNo milestones are reported or delays are announced in the AI roadmap.
Why it matters: Higher margins mean better cost control and efficiency.
Supportive ifNon-GAAP gross margin was above 27%. This shows good cost control.
Worry ifNon-GAAP gross margin was below 23%. This suggests cost pressures.
Why it matters: Moving forward with this plan is key for future growth. It helps stay competitive.
Watch forA clear update on the AI data-center power plan shows progress.
Also watch forNo updates or setbacks in the AI data-center power roadmap.
Why it matters: Missing this guidance shows ongoing problems with revenue growth in key markets.
Worry ifQ3 revenue was below $310 million. This shows weak demand.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue meets or exceeds $310 million, showing strong demand recovery.
Why it matters: Dropping below this level shows a setback in the company's margin efforts.
Worry ifQ3 non-GAAP gross margin was below 22%. This shows margin pressure.
Less concerning ifQ3 non-GAAP gross margin stayed above 22%. This confirms margin improvement.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$423 on $10,000 · ±4.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $949 loss on $10,000 · 9.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,202 loss on $10,000 · 62.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.