SolarEdge (SEDG)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySolarSnapshot 2026-11-04
$30.02-8.70%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySolarSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SEDG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -44.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 6.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 50.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name operates in a high-miss-rate industry and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 3 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SEDG — officer change
Dated 2026-10-05
Chief Revenue Officer — Daniel Huber: The Chief Revenue Officer is resigning with a long notice period and no stated disagreement, indicating an orderly departure rather than a sudden shock.
Why it matters: SolarEdge reported six straight quarters of year-over-year margin growth. Q2 margin also included a $13.3 million tariff benefit, so the next result tests how much strength lasts.
Worry ifQ3 non-GAAP gross margin is below 22%, under the low end of guidance.
Less concerning ifQ3 non-GAAP gross margin is at least 26%, at or above the high end of guidance.
Why it matters: Huber is leaving after a long notice period, with no stated disagreement. The next report can show whether revenue execution stays on track.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below $310 million, the low end of guidance, after the sales leader's departure notice.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue is at least $310 million and lands within or above guidance.
Why it matters: The Q3 report tests whether growth continues after Q2 revenue rose 20% year over year. Revenue below the guided range would weaken that case.
Watch forQ3 revenue is at least $340 million, above the top of the guided range.
Also watch forQ3 revenue is below $310 million, under the bottom of the guided range.
Why it matters: Management named the SolarEdge SST as part of its plan for AI factories. A clear launch or customer milestone would show progress beyond a broad roadmap.
Supportive ifSolarEdge names an SST launch, customer, or shipped product for AI factories.
Worry ifA company update delays the SolarEdge SST plan. Or it reports no named milestone by the next two earnings reports.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$336 on $10,000 · ±3.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $928 loss on $10,000 · 9.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,244 loss on $10,000 · 62.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.