Solaris Energy Infrastructure, Inc. (SEI)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$55.00+3.44%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
Broken: Primary pillar broken — Revenue growth of about 46% in the next 12 months: Revenue growth metric not reported vs 46.6% target.
Solaris raised Q2 EBITDA guidance to $83-93 million. Sales should grow about 46% this year. The company has strong equipment demand from oil and gas operators. Buybacks and acquisitions support growth.
The stock is down over 20% from its high. Debt and equity sales raise financial risk. Management is volatile and guidance was recently cut. Profit margins could weaken if oil prices fall.
The price is about 5% above our fair value near $62. Analysts expect 47% revenue growth. Our value is 29% below the Street median of $88. The market prices in strong growth but also some risk.
Breaks if: Adjusted EBITDA falls below $83 million in Q2 2026
Continue to raise and expand Adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2026 quarters reflecting growth and improved profitability.
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a speculative growth opportunity, as SEI operates in the energy sector, which is currently experiencing a favorable backdrop. The thesis state remains intact, but management's volatility adds uncertainty.
The market seems to have priced in a low level of fragility, reflecting a justified valuation despite the turbulent sector conditions. There is an expectations gap suggesting that the market may not fully anticipate the potential for future growth.
Management has shown strong recent financial performance, with Adjusted EBITDA guidance raised and integration of the Global Energy Services Alliance on track. However, there is a near-term risk of missing earnings estimates, which could impact sentiment.
The long-term thesis hinges on the ability of SEI to maintain or improve its earnings guidance and the performance of sector bellwethers like SLB, BKR, and FTI. Additionally, inflation trends could play a significant role in shaping the sector's performance.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Yes, our read has strengthened. The latest earnings beat supports this improved outlook. There are no new threats identified that would weaken the thesis.
as of 2026-09-04
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Stated as a priority in 2 of last 2 quarters. Management raised third quarter 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance from $80-95 million to $90-105 million and established fourth quarter guidance at $100-120 million. This follows actual Adjusted EBITDA growth from $83-93 million guidance in Q2 and $108 million reported Adjusted EBITDA in 2026-Q2, indicating delivering trajectory.
“Raising third quarter 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $90-105 million from $80-95 million and establishing fourth quarter 2026 guidance at $100-120 million.”
“Increasing second quarter 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $83-93 million from previous guidance of $76-84 million and establishing third quarter 2026 guidance at $80-95 million.”
Breaks if: Additional large debt or equity raises that weaken balance sheet
Breaks if: Revenue growth falls below 40% in the next 12 months
In the next 1 to 3 years, SEI's performance will depend on management's execution and external market conditions. Not investment advice.