Global Self Storage Inc (SELF)
NASDAQReal EstateReit - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
$5.22-1.14%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQReal EstateReit - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SELF
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 2.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 0.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 14 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SELF — litigation filed
Dated 2026-03-25
Regulation FD Disclosure. The information included in this Current Report on Form 8-K (including Exhibit 99.1 hereto) shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing made by the Company under the Exchange Act or the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth…
Why it matters: Higher FFO indicates better cash flow and financial health for the company.
Supportive ifFFO reported above $900,000.
Worry ifFFO reported below $900,000.
Why it matters: Higher operating costs can hurt profits and cash flow.
Worry ifOperating expenses increase more than 8.1% in Q3.
Less concerning ifOperating expenses increase less than or equal to 8.1% in Q3.
Why it matters: A drop in net income may show problems with costs and making money.
Worry ifQ2 net income reported below $477,000.
Less concerning ifQ2 net income reported above $477,000.
Why it matters: A drop in occupancy would suggest weakening demand and could hurt revenue growth.
Worry ifSame-store occupancy drops below 94% at the end of Q3.
Less concerning ifSame-store occupancy remains at or above 94% at the end of Q3.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$71 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $183 loss on $10,000 · 1.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,054 loss on $10,000 · 10.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A bigger drop in FFO raises worries about cash for dividends and growth.
Worry ifFFO declines more than -10.7% compared to Q3 2025.
Less concerning ifFFO declines less than -10.7% or increases compared to Q3 2025.
Why it matters: This growth rate indicates how well the company is managing occupancy and pricing. A drop could signal trouble.
Worry ifSame-store revenue growth for Q3 is reported below 0.6%.
Less concerning ifSame-store revenue growth for Q3 is reported above 0.6%.
Why it matters: Meeting EPS guidance is key for investor confidence. It shows the company is improving its earnings.
Supportive ifDiluted EPS meets or exceeds the annual guidance of $0.18.
Worry ifDiluted EPS remains below the annual guidance of $0.18.
Why it matters: A fall in occupancy may mean less demand for storage units.
Worry ifOccupancy rates are less than 93.1%.
Less concerning ifOccupancy rates are more than 93.1%.
Why it matters: Litigation results can affect financial health. Good news may calm investor fears.
Worry ifThere is news of a good settlement or dismissal of the case.
Less concerning ifThere is a bad ruling or high legal costs reported.
Why it matters: A big drop in NOI shows worse operations. This could hurt future growth.
Worry ifSame-store NOI declines more than 5% year over year in Q3 2026.
Less concerning ifSame-store NOI remains stable or grows year over year in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Meeting EPS guidance shows management's ability to grow profits. It builds investor trust.
Supportive ifQ2 EPS reported at or above $0.18.
Worry ifQ2 EPS reported below $0.18.
Why it matters: A rebound in sector growth could boost SELF's performance. It indicates a healthier market.
Watch forSector revenue growth reported above 4% year over year.
Also watch forSector revenue growth reported below 4% year over year.
Why it matters: Stable revenue signals management is meeting its goal. It shows business health.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue reported between $3.1B and $3.2B.
Worry ifQ2 revenue falls outside the $3.1B to $3.2B range.
Why it matters: Higher operating costs can squeeze margins. This may hurt profits.
Worry ifSame-store operating expenses rise more than 10% year over year in Q3 2026.
Less concerning ifSame-store operating expenses rise 10% or less year over year in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Growth in operating income shows the company can make more money.
Supportive ifQ2 operating income reported higher than $571,776 from Q1.
Worry ifQ2 operating income reported lower than $571,776 from Q1.