Seneca Foods Corp. (SENEB)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$208.530.00%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SENEB
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is still in the top half of its industry but slipped notably this past month — worth watching.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -24.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 28.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 29 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
Why it matters: Stable margins would show good cost control in a changing market.
Supportive ifEarnings report shows gross margins above 20%.
Worry ifMargins fall below 18% in the earnings report.
Why it matters: More unemployment claims can show economic weakness. This might hurt consumer spending.
Worry ifWeekly unemployment claims fall below 200,000.
Less concerning ifWeekly unemployment claims rise above 300,000.
Why it matters: If revenue grows, it may show that the consumer staples sector is recovering.
Supportive ifRevenue growth turns positive year over year for Seneca Foods Corp.
Worry ifRevenue growth remains negative year over year.
Why it matters: PPI data will show changes in producer costs. Rising costs could squeeze margins for Seneca Foods.
Watch forPPI shows a decrease in producer prices year over year.
Also watch forPPI shows an increase in producer prices year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$0 on $10,000 · ±0.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $307 loss on $10,000 · 3.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,032 loss on $10,000 · 20.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it could signal a positive shift in the maturing consumer staples sector.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth is speeding up. It is getting close to its historical highs above 5%.
Worry ifSector revenue growth remains below 2% and does not show signs of recovery.
Why it matters: GDP growth affects consumer spending. Strong GDP could boost demand for Seneca Foods' products.
Supportive ifGDP growth rate is revised up to above 2% in the second estimate.
Worry ifGDP growth rate is revised down to below 1%.
Why it matters: CPI data will show trends in inflation. This affects how much consumers spend and pricing.
Watch forCPI shows a month-over-month increase above 0.5%.
Also watch forCPI shows a month-over-month decrease or remains flat.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth would show good progress in a growing market.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth exceeds 5% year over year.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth stays below 2% year over year.
Why it matters: More unemployment claims may show economic problems. This can affect how much consumers spend.
Worry ifWeekly unemployment claims are over 300,000 for two weeks in a row.
Less concerning ifWeekly unemployment claims are under 250,000 for two weeks in a row.
Why it matters: FOMC decisions can change interest rates. This affects consumer spending and Seneca Foods' sales.
Watch forFOMC raises interest rates. This leads to more consumer spending.
Also watch forFOMC lowers interest rates. This leads to less consumer spending.
Why it matters: CPI data will provide insight into consumer price trends. This impacts consumer spending and could affect Seneca Foods' sales.
Watch forCPI shows inflation rate lower than 3% year over year.
Also watch forCPI shows inflation rate higher than 4% year over year.
Why it matters: Better sector performance may help Seneca Foods Corp. turn things around.
Supportive ifThe Consumer Staples sector does well over a 60-day period.
Worry ifThe Consumer Staples sector stays negative over a 60-day period.
Why it matters: PPI affects input costs; higher costs could squeeze margins for Seneca Foods.
Worry ifPPI is going up. This means input costs are rising.
Less concerning ifPPI is stable or going down. This means input costs are stable.
Why it matters: CPI affects how much people spend. Higher inflation may lower demand for Seneca Foods.
Worry ifCPI is going up. This shows rising inflation and possible demand problems.
Less concerning ifCPI is stable or going down. This means consumer buying power is stable.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it could signal a positive shift in the consumer staples sector.
Supportive ifRevenue growth in the consumer staples sector shows an increase back toward previous highs.
Worry ifRevenue growth continues to slow or remains flat compared to previous periods.