Saga Communications Inc (SGA)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesBroadcastingSnapshot 2026-09-04
$9.18-1.40%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesBroadcastingSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SGA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -81.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 82.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and its industry peers have been missing lately. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 7 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SGA — dividend update
Dated 2026-05-07
Other Events. On May 7, 2026, Saga Communications, Inc. ( the “Company”) issued a press release announcing that the Company’s Board of Directors has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.25 per share on its Class A Common Stock to be paid on June 12, 2026, to shareholders of record on May 22, 2026, as set forth in the press release included as Exhibit 99.1 hereto.
Why it matters: A bigger drop would show worse revenue trends. This would hurt overall performance.
Worry ifQ3 net revenue down year over year worse than -6%.
Less concerning ifQ3 net revenue stabilizes or grows year over year.
Why it matters: The payment shows the company cares about giving value to shareholders. This is important even after losses.
Supportive ifThe dividend is paid as planned. This shows the company is financially stable.
Worry ifThe dividend is either suspended or reduced. This shows the company is in financial trouble.
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows financial strength. It also shows care for shareholders.
Supportive ifQuarterly dividend set at $0.25 per share.
Worry ifQuarterly dividend cut below $0.25 per share.
Why it matters: Keeping capex guidance shows a focus on growth even with recent losses. It shows management believes in future operations.
Supportive ifThe company will spend $3.5 million on capital projects for 2026 in the next earnings call.
Worry ifCapex guidance is lowered below $3 million in the next earnings call.
Why it matters: If revenue goes up, it shows the company is getting better. This can help investors.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue reported above $22.9 million, showing growth from the previous quarter.
Worry ifQ2 revenue is below $22.9 million, showing a continued decline.
Why it matters: A positive change in revenue growth in the sector could improve Saga's performance outlook.
Watch forSector revenue growth turns positive after being in decline.
Also watch forSector revenue growth remains negative or worsens.
Why it matters: Better results may show that Saga Communications is starting to bounce back.
Supportive ifSector performance improves relative to peers like GOOG and META.
Worry ifSector performance continues to lag behind peers.
Why it matters: An increase would show management's efforts to make more money are working.
Supportive ifOperating income rises from $623 thousand in Q2 2026.
Worry ifOperating income falls further from $623 thousand in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: If station income goes up, it means management is focused on growth.
Supportive ifQ3 station operating income is up from $3.0 million in Q2 2026.
Worry ifQ3 station operating income is down from $3.0 million in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: More capital spending could mean strong growth plans. It might also show financial stress.
Watch forCapital spending is above $3.5 million for 2026.
Also watch forCapital spending is below $3.0 million for 2026.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$129 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $329 loss on $10,000 · 3.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,101 loss on $10,000 · 31.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.