Siebert Financial Corp. (SIEB)
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$2.53+3.27%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SIEB
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -63.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 25.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 88.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of — · Company calendar date is not available
Why it matters: Lower GDP growth may mean a slowdown in finance. This could hurt Siebert's performance.
Worry ifGDP growth reported below 2% in the second estimate on August 26, 2026.
Less concerning ifGDP growth remains at or above 2% in the second estimate.
Why it matters: Higher inflation can hurt consumer spending and demand for financial services. This may lower Siebert's revenue.
Worry ifCPI goes up more than expected, showing higher inflation.
Less concerning ifCPI goes up less than expected or drops, showing lower inflation.
Why it matters: Revenue growth below 15% would signal a slowdown in the financial sector's growth phase.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth reported below 15% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue growth remains at or above 15% year over year.
Why it matters: FOMC decisions can change interest rates and market conditions. This impacts Siebert's work and profits.
Watch forFOMC raises interest rates. This could lead to higher margins for Siebert.
Also watch forFOMC cuts interest rates, which may compress margins for Siebert.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$180 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $563 loss on $10,000 · 5.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,059 loss on $10,000 · 60.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Slow personal income growth can lower consumer spending. This may impact Siebert's revenue.
Worry ifPersonal income growth is below 3% on August 26, 2026.
Less concerning ifPersonal Income growth remains at or above 3%.
Why it matters: A loss would confirm the current quality status as loss-making and raise concerns.
Worry ifEarnings report on August 11 shows a net loss.
Less concerning ifEarnings report on August 11 shows a net profit.
Why it matters: If revenue growth falls below the median, it signals a weakening trend in the sector.
Worry ifRevenue growth drops below the median of 13% year over year.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth stays at or above the median of 13% year over year.
Why it matters: PPI data affects inflation. This can change how the financial sector performs.
Watch forPPI shows a smaller increase than expected. This means inflation is easing.
Also watch forPPI shows a bigger increase than expected. This means inflation pressures are rising.
Why it matters: CPI data affects how much people spend and inflation. This changes the financial outlook.
Watch forCPI shows a smaller increase than expected. This suggests prices for consumers are stable.
Also watch forCPI shows a bigger increase than expected. This raises concerns about inflation.