SIFCO Industries Inc (SIF)
AMEXIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-05
$16.87-10.93%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
AMEXIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SIF
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 7.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 30.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 22.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 27 industry peers
SIF — CFO transition
Dated 2026-02-03
Chief Financial Officer — Jennifer Wilson: Ms. Jennifer Wilson resigned from her position as Chief Financial Officer, and Mr. Eric Shultz was appointed to succeed her.
Why it matters: Higher inventory costs added $3.2 million to Q3 LIFO expense. A smaller cost would ease pressure on reported profit.
Supportive ifThe next results show a LIFO expense below $3.2 million.
Worry ifThe next results show a LIFO expense of $3.2 million or more.
Why it matters: SIFCO says skilled labor remains hard to find. More stable staffing and higher output could help turn demand into profit.
Supportive ifManagement reports better hiring and retention. Results show more output or lower costs per sale.
Worry ifManagement reports that skilled workers remain hard to find. No gains in output or lower costs per sale are reported.
Why it matters: Sales rose 18.3% in Q3. Another strong quarter would show that SIFCO is turning customer demand into revenue.
Supportive ifThe next results show sales growth above 18% year over year.
Worry ifThe next results show sales growth below 18% year over year, or sales fall from Q3's $26.1 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$202 on $10,000 · ±2.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $678 loss on $10,000 · 6.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,024 loss on $10,000 · 40.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.