SUPER LEAGUE ENTERPRISE INC (SLE)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$3.92+11.36%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SLE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -72.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 36.2% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 109.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 32 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SLE — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-20
Results of Operations and Financial Condition . On August 14, 2026, Super League Enterprise, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release and hosted an earnings call to announce the Company’s financial results for the fiscal quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release and the earnings call transcript are attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and 99.2, respectively.
Why it matters: Reaching this goal would be a big change for the company. It shows that management can follow their financial plan.
Supportive ifManagement says Q4 2026 Adjusted EBITDA is positive. This means they are making money.
Worry ifQ4 2026 Adjusted EBITDA is still negative. This shows they have money problems.
Why it matters: Steady revenue growth is key to showing that recent acquisitions and plans work.
Supportive ifGross revenue growth is over 5% from Q2 to Q3 2026.
Worry ifGross revenue growth remains flat or declines in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: More client engagements mean higher demand for services. This helps build a strong revenue base.
Supportive ifTotal new client engagements will be over 30 by December 2026.
Worry ifTotal new client engagements will be under 30 by December 2026.
Why it matters: New partnerships can boost revenue growth. They can also support the company's business model.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of at least 5 new client partnerships in Q2 2026.
Worry ifNo new client partnerships announced in Q2 2026.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$321 on $10,000 · ±3.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,432 loss on $10,000 · 14.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,778 loss on $10,000 · 97.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show how the company is doing and what to expect.
Watch forThe earnings report shows better revenue and profit numbers.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows lower revenue or bigger losses.
Why it matters: More client engagement can show growth and steady revenue.
Supportive ifCompany reports more than 30 new clients engaged by the end of Q2 2026.
Worry ifNew client engagements fall below 20 by the end of Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Better cash flow shows more efficiency and stability. This is important for growth.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations turns positive in Q3 or Q4 2026.
Worry ifCash flow from operations remains negative in Q3 or Q4 2026.
Why it matters: If revenue goes over $3.0 million, it shows growth and strong operations.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 revenue reported above $3.0 million.
Worry ifQ2 2026 revenue reported below $3.0 million.
Why it matters: This purchase is important for getting new revenue and better profits. It may show a stronger financial base.
Supportive ifQuarterly revenue goes up because of Misfits Ads, beating past levels.
Worry ifRevenue does not grow or goes down, hinting at problems with integration or the market.
Why it matters: M&A activities are crucial for growth. Successful deals can enhance market position.
Supportive ifA new acquisition or partnership is announced. This will help expand capabilities or market reach.
Worry ifNo new M&A announcements or failed talks show that growth has stopped.
Why it matters: Getting cash-based EBITDA profits is important for the company. It shows financial health.
Supportive ifQ2 cash-based EBITDA is positive. This means the company is making a profit.
Worry ifQ2 cash-based EBITDA is still negative. This shows the company is losing money.
Why it matters: Approval is key for the partnership to move forward. It may change the company's future and financial plans.
Supportive ifStockholders approve the Metaplanet deal. This allows for a new way to raise money.
Worry ifStockholders reject the deal, slowing down plans and financial gains.
Why it matters: Closing this deal would help Super League's finances and grow its Bitcoin holdings.
Supportive ifThe Metaplanet deal closes successfully. This brings more money and support for operations.
Worry ifThe deal does not close or has big delays. This affects financial stability.
Why it matters: Better operating income is key for long-term profits. It shows how healthy the business is.
Supportive ifOperating income is going up. This shows better performance.
Worry ifOperating income is going down. This suggests deeper problems.