Silgan Holdings (SLGN)
NYSEMaterialsPackaging & ContainersSnapshot 2026-09-04
$41.18-0.79%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsPackaging & ContainersSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SLGN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -20.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 3.9% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 24.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 17 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SLGN — COO transition
Dated 2026-09-04
COO — Philippe Chevrier: The Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer is departing the company, representing the loss of a senior executive.
Why it matters: Stable or growing gross profit shows success in making more money.
Supportive ifQ2 gross profit increases year over year from $265.8 million.
Worry ifQ2 gross profit decreases year over year or stays below $265.8 million.
Why it matters: Higher raw material costs can lower profits and hurt margins.
Worry ifIf raw material costs go down, margins will improve.
Less concerning ifRaw material costs continue to rise, further squeezing margins.
Why it matters: The dividend shows the company cares about its shareholders. It shows good financial health.
Supportive ifA quarterly cash dividend declared at or above $0.21 per share.
Worry ifNo dividend declared or a decrease in the dividend amount.
Why it matters: Growth in the sector can affect Silgan's performance and future.
Watch for3-year revenue growth in the materials sector picks back up above 1%.
Also watch for3-year revenue growth in the materials sector continues to decline or stays below 1%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$98 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $265 loss on $10,000 · 2.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,550 loss on $10,000 · 25.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A drop in adjusted EBIT would show operational issues. This could affect future earnings.
Worry ifAdjusted EBIT in any segment goes down compared to last year.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EBIT in all segments goes up or stays the same compared to last year.
Why it matters: A steady dividend payout shows financial stability. It also shows care for shareholders.
Supportive ifThe company declares a dividend of $0.21 per share in the next quarter.
Worry ifThe company cuts the dividend payout below $0.21 per share.
Why it matters: Increasing dividends show strong cash flow. It shows a commitment to shareholders.
Supportive ifQuarterly cash dividend increases beyond $0.21 per share.
Worry ifQuarterly cash dividend stays at $0.21 or goes down.
Why it matters: The guidance will show if Silgan can maintain its earnings growth. This is key for investor confidence.
Supportive ifGuidance for Q3 adjusted net income per diluted share in the range of $1.21 to $1.31.
Worry ifGuidance is below $1.21. This shows weaker earnings expectations.
Why it matters: Volume growth in this segment is key for Silgan's performance and market position.
Supportive ifVolume growth in Dispensing and Specialty Closures is over 5% year over year.
Worry ifVolume growth in Dispensing and Specialty Closures is below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Free cash flow is important for funding dividends and growth. It shows financial stability.
Supportive ifManagement expects free cash flow to be about $450 million in 2026.
Worry ifFree cash flow estimate is below $450 million. This suggests possible cash flow problems.