Selectquote, Inc. (SLQT)
NYSEFinancialsInsurance - BrokersSnapshot 2026-09-04
$0.54-1.34%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsInsurance - BrokersSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SLQT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -78.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -5.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 73.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 13 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SLQT — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-25
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 25, 2026, SelectQuote, Inc. reported its financial results for the fourth quarter ended June 30, 2026. Copies of the related press release and investor presentation are attached hereto as Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2, respectively, and are incorporated herein by reference. These exhibits are being furnished pursuant to Item 2.02, and the information contained therein shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exc…
Why it matters: More SelectRx members show a strong need for healthcare services.
Supportive ifSelectRx members grow by more than 11% year-over-year.
Worry ifSelectRx members grow by less than 11% year-over-year.
Why it matters: Going over this cash flow target shows management wants to boost cash generation.
Supportive ifOperating cash flow was over $60 million for fiscal 2027.
Worry ifOperating cash flow was under $60 million for fiscal 2027.
Why it matters: Lower guidance shows management expects less growth.
Worry ifFiscal 2027 revenue guidance is below $1.35 billion.
Less concerning ifFiscal 2027 revenue guidance issued at or above $1.35 billion.
Why it matters: Meeting or exceeding this revenue figure shows progress toward the annual target of $1.61B to $1.71B.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported at or above $430.9 million.
Worry ifQ3 revenue falls below $430.9 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$377 on $10,000 · ±3.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $830 loss on $10,000 · 8.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,559 loss on $10,000 · 75.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Earnings results will provide insight into financial health and future guidance. This is crucial for assessing the company's direction.
Watch forThe earnings report shows a big profit increase from past quarters.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows a profit drop or does not meet analyst expectations.
Why it matters: Meeting revenue guidance is crucial for investor confidence and growth outlook. It shows the company is on track.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported at least $1.61 billion.
Worry ifQ3 revenue reported below $1.61 billion.
Why it matters: Revenue growth is key to meeting the annual target of $1.61B to $1.71B. If growth is weak, it raises concerns about the company's ability to achieve its goals.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth year over year below 5%.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue growth year over year at or above 5%.
Why it matters: Keeping cash flow above this level shows strong finances and good operations.
Supportive ifOperating cash flow reported at or above $25 million.
Worry ifOperating cash flow falls below $25 million.
Why it matters: If revenue falls below this level, the business will have ongoing problems.
Worry ifQ4 revenue reported below $321 million.
Less concerning ifQ4 revenue exceeds $321 million.
Why it matters: Meeting this revenue target would show strong growth momentum after a mixed fiscal 2026.
Supportive ifQ1 2027 revenue reported above $1.35 billion.
Worry ifQ1 2027 revenue reported below $1.35 billion.
Why it matters: Keeping this level shows good performance even with past drops.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA was more than $90 million for fiscal 2027.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA was less than $90 million for fiscal 2027.