Reading SMG? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SMG free→Reading SMG? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SMG free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · SMG
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $61.67. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $85.52 | 20.1 | 4.25 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $143.17 | 22.0 | 6.50 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $88.34 | 20.1 | 4.39 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $71.31 | 1.2 | 61.13 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| $27.45 |
| 6.3 |
| 4.39 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $73.42 | 16.7 | 4.39 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $94.52 | 20.1 | 4.70 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $99.90 | 20.1 | 4.96 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $156.49 | 22.0 | 7.11 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $103.19 | 20.1 | 5.13 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $64.00 | 1.2 | 54.87 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $32.07 | 6.3 | 5.13 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $85.77 | 16.7 | 5.13 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $110.81 | 20.1 | 5.51 | Mgmt(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $166.04 | 22.0 | 7.54 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $114.46 | 20.1 | 5.69 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $59.54 | 1.2 | 51.05 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $35.57 | 6.3 | 5.69 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $95.13 | 16.7 | 5.69 | Analyst | high |