Reading SMP? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SMP free→Reading SMP? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SMP free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · SMP
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $39.40. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $43.46 | 8.6 | 8.08 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $28.08 | 16.2 | 1.73 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $58.78 | 14.6 | 4.03 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $54.17 | 0.8 | 67.80 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| $60.21 |
| 14.9 |
| 4.03 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $40.23 | 10.0 | 4.03 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $62.80 | 14.6 | 4.31 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $34.45 | 16.2 | 2.13 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $87.15 | 14.6 | 5.98 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $84.43 | 0.8 | 105.66 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $89.28 | 14.9 | 5.98 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $59.64 | 10.0 | 5.98 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $39.48 | 16.2 | 2.44 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $113.32 | 14.6 | 7.77 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $113.49 | 0.8 | 142.04 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $116.09 | 14.9 | 7.77 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $77.56 | 10.0 | 7.77 | Analyst | medium |