Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Snail Inc (SNAL)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesElectronic Gaming & MultimediaSnapshot 2026-11-04
$2.09-6.28%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesElectronic Gaming & MultimediaSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
1.57 → 1.57 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 1 analyst
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 1 to 1; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for SNAL yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
4 published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Annual licensing fees reduced by $6M | The company is cutting licensing fees to save money. | Intact | Fee reduction is less than $3M annually | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
SNAL is a high-risk gaming turnaround and growth story, not an established durable compounder. Its long-term thesis is in a watch state: management is advancing several projects, while recent momentum and the company signal have weakened.
The snapshot describes SNAL as loss-making but gives no valuation multiple or direct evidence of market expectations, so whether it is cheap or expensive versus peers is unclear. The evidence supports caution about execution, including an August earnings miss, but does not show exactly what expectations the market already assumes.
Near term, earnings risk is elevated, and a guidance cut on the next call is a stated downside trigger. ARK releases show ongoing execution, but reported net revenue declined quarter over quarter; new AAA games and AI initiatives have no reported financial contribution yet. The multi-year trajectory depends on whether these projects broaden revenue beyond ARK.
The key swing factors are whether SNAL maintains guidance and converts its game pipeline into meaningful revenue, and whether its newer initiatives develop beyond early-stage work. Fed rate cuts and continued strong results from sector peers could support the sector backdrop, while the recent delisting-related notice adds to the risk picture.
Over the next 1 to 3 years, SNAL’s thesis remains uncertain: content development is active, but revenue progress, earnings reliability, and execution are not yet established. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A primary condition in Snail Inc's published investment case. The stated target is No new deficiency notices in 2026. |
| Under Pressure |
| New Nasdaq deficiency notices or delisting occurs |
Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Net income improves to positive $2.13M in Q1 2026 | Net income improved to $2.13M in Q1 2026. | Broken | Net income remains negative or below $0 in 2026-Q1 | Net income: $-3.041M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >= $2.13M. The stored target says 2026-Q1; this source reports FY2026-Q2. Fiscal/calendar alignment needs review. Aug 11, 2026-3,040,749 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Revenue grows to at least $27.3M in Q2 2026 | A primary condition in Snail Inc's published investment case. The stated target is >= $27.3M. | Broken | Revenue falls below $25M in 2026-Q2 | Revenue: $19.676M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >= $27.3M. The target does not explicitly identify fiscal versus calendar quarters. Aug 11, 202619,676,448 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$5.85 → $1.57 · observed estimates
$0.12B → $0.11B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $5.85 | $122,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-25 | $5.85 | $122,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-26 | $5.85 | $122,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-27 | $5.85 | $122,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-28 | $5.85 | $122,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-29 | $5.85 | $122,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-30 | $5.85 | $122,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-31 | $5.85 | $122,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-01 | $5.85 | $122,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | $5.85 | $122,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-03 | $5.85 | $122,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-04 | $1.17 | $122,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-05 | $1.17 | $122,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-06 | $1.17 | $122,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | $1.17 | $122,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-09 | $1.17 | $122,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-10 | $1.17 | $122,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-12 | $5.85 | $122,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-13 | $5.85 | $122,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-14 | $5.85 | $122,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | $5.85 | $122,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-16 | $5.85 | $122,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-17 | $5.85 | $122,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-18 | $5.85 | $122,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-19 | $5.85 | $122,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-20 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-21 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-24 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-25 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-26 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-27 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-31 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-01 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-02 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-10 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-01 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-02 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-03 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-05 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-06 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-07 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-12 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-13 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-14 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-16 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-17 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-19 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-21 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-03 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | $1.57 | $109,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 1 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
Nov 11, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Review earnings4 of 4 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.