Smart Sand Inc (SND)
NASDAQEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$5.32-0.56%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SND
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -32.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 20.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 52.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 33 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SND — credit agreement
Dated 2026-09-03
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. As reported in a Current Report on Form 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on September 9, 2024, Smart Sand, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into a $30 million five-year senior secured asset-based credit facility (the “Facility”), pursuant to a Credit Agreement, dated as of September 3, 2024, among the Company, the subsidiary borrowers and guarantors party thereto, First-Citizens Bank & Trust Company, as issuing bank, swingline lende…
Why it matters: The payment shows that management cares about giving money back to shareholders. It shows they are financially strong.
Supportive ifThe special dividend of $0.10 per share is paid on time.
Worry ifThe special dividend payment is delayed or canceled.
Why it matters: This report will provide insights on performance and future outlook.
Watch forEarnings report shows improvement in key metrics like revenue or cash flow.
Also watch forEarnings report shows continued decline in key metrics.
Why it matters: Sales growth is a key goal for the company. Meeting this target shows strong demand.
Supportive ifSales volume growth reported at 5% or higher year over year.
Worry ifSales volume growth reported below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Better Adjusted EBITDA means Smart Sand is running its business more efficiently. This shows they are financially strong.
Supportive ifQ2 Adjusted EBITDA exceeds $3.8 million from Q1 2026.
Worry ifQ2 Adjusted EBITDA is less than $3.8 million.
Why it matters: Changes in spending plans show that management expects growth. They see new investment chances.
Watch forManagement raises spending plans for 2026 to over $20 million.
Also watch forManagement lowers spending plans for 2026 to under $15 million.
Why it matters: Staying within this range shows management's discipline in spending.
Watch forIn Q2 2026, capital spending is between $15M and $20M.
Also watch forIn Q2 2026, capital spending is more than $20M.
Why it matters: Sales volume growth shows demand strength. It confirms management's target for 2026.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 sales volume increases by 5% or more compared to Q1 2026.
Worry ifQ2 2026 sales volume growth is less than 5% compared to Q1 2026.
Why it matters: Positive free cash flow shows good financial health. It shows management's focus on spending wisely.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 free cash flow is positive.
Worry ifQ2 2026 free cash flow is negative.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$243 on $10,000 · ±2.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $587 loss on $10,000 · 5.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,236 loss on $10,000 · 32.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.