Senestech Inc (SNES)
NASDAQMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-04
$1.21-2.42%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SNES
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 86.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 98.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 12.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 26 industry peers
SNES — legal / regulatory event — Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standar…
Dated 2026-10-22
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. On October 20, 2026, SenesTech, Inc. (the “Company”) received a letter from the listing qualifications staff (the “Staff”) of The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC (“Nasdaq”) providing notification that the bid price for the Company’s common stock had closed below $1.00 per share for the previous 30 consecutive business days and the Company’s common stock no longer meets the minimum bid price requiremen…
Why it matters: The stock closed below $1 for 30 straight business days. Nasdaq gave the company until April 19, 2027, to regain compliance.
Worry ifNasdaq confirms the stock closed at or above $1 for at least 10 straight business days by April 19, 2027.
Less concerning ifThe stock stays below $1 through April 19, 2027, and Nasdaq does not grant more time or another path to compliance.
Why it matters: Q2 had a record 73.6% gross margin, but the company still lost $1.8 million. Lower losses would show progress toward covering costs.
Supportive ifFinal Q3 results show a net loss below $1.8 million and gross margin at or above Q2's 73.6%.
Worry ifFinal Q3 results show a net loss of $1.8 million or more, or gross margin below 73.6%.
Why it matters: Management linked Q3 progress to e-commerce, subscriptions, and B2B. Q2 e-commerce revenue was $511,000, while subscriptions rose to records.
Supportive ifFinal Q3 results show e-commerce and subscription revenue above Q2 levels. They name higher subscription revenue as a driver.
Worry ifFinal Q3 results show e-commerce or subscription revenue at or below Q2 levels. Or they report fewer subscribers.
Why it matters: The result is due the week of November 9. It will show whether the record preliminary sales figure holds.
Supportive ifFinal Q3 revenue is at least $1.1 million, up about 40% from Q2 and 55% from Q3 2025.
Worry ifFinal Q3 revenue is below $1.1 million. Or the company reports a major change to its preliminary figure.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$242 on $10,000 · ±2.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $771 loss on $10,000 · 7.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,192 loss on $10,000 · 81.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The company is building a sales team for targeted markets, but direct B2B revenue was lower than in Q2 2025.
Supportive ifFinal Q3 results report direct B2B revenue above Q2's $259,000 and cite growth in targeted markets.
Worry ifFinal Q3 results report direct B2B revenue at or below $259,000. They report no gain in targeted markets.