Synopsys (SNPS)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-11-04
$462.95+0.02%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SNPS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 46.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 15.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 31.2 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 21 industry peers
SNPS — restructuring
Dated 2026-08-26
includes certain forward-looking statements with respect to the size and scope of the restructuring, and the approximate amount and expected timing of the related charges. These statements involve risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause Synopsys’ actual results, time frames or achievements to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. Such risks, uncertainties and factors include but are not limited to, Synopsys’ ability to implement…
Why it matters: Management said it expects double-digit EDA growth. A lower rate would challenge its growth case as the tech sector trend eases.
Worry ifOn December 9, Synopsys reports EDA revenue growth below 10% from a year earlier.
Less concerning ifAt the December 9 earnings report, Synopsys reports EDA revenue growth of at least 10% year over year.
Why it matters: Ansys is a major part of Synopsys’s 2026 revenue plan. Results below the estimate would raise questions about the deal’s progress.
Worry ifSynopsys says Ansys revenue for 2026 is below $2.98 billion.
Less concerning ifSynopsys reports 2026 Ansys revenue of at least $2.98 billion.
Why it matters: Synopsys set Q4 revenue guidance at $2.53 billion to $2.58 billion. A result below that range would break its current growth path.
Worry ifQ4 revenue is below $2.53 billion, the low end of the company’s stated range.
Less concerning ifQ4 revenue is at least $2.53 billion and within the stated range.
Why it matters: The company set Q4 non-GAAP EPS guidance at $4.10 to $4.16. A miss would weaken its earnings growth story.
Worry ifQ4 non-GAAP EPS is below $4.10, the low end of the stated range.
Less concerning ifQ4 non-GAAP EPS is at least $4.10 and within the stated range.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$154 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $458 loss on $10,000 · 4.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,121 loss on $10,000 · 31.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Synopsys plans to finish the share repurchase by January 5, 2027. Final settlement will show how much stock it bought.
Supportive ifA company filing or release confirms the ASR was settled by January 5, 2027, and states the final share count.
Worry ifThe company reports that settlement was delayed or that the ASR was not completed by January 5, 2027.