Synopsys (SNPS)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
$393.84-5.40%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SNPS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -0.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 12.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 12.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 68 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SNPS — restructuring
Dated 2026-08-26
includes certain forward-looking statements with respect to the size and scope of the restructuring, and the approximate amount and expected timing of the related charges. These statements involve risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause Synopsys’ actual results, time frames or achievements to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. Such risks, uncertainties and factors include but are not limited to, Synopsys’ ability to implement…
Why it matters: Management will share long-term financial targets and strategies. This could impact growth outlook.
Supportive ifManagement shares clear and bold long-term goals at Investor Day.
Worry ifInvestor Day does not provide new insights or goals. This disappoints investors.
Why it matters: A rise in EPS guidance shows good cost management. It also shows strong profits.
Supportive ifNon-GAAP EPS guidance is over $4.16. This shows strong earnings.
Worry ifNon-GAAP EPS guidance is below $4.10. This suggests earnings may be under pressure.
Why it matters: Cohn's background may affect decisions and help increase value for shareholders.
Supportive ifGood changes in strategy or performance after he starts.
Worry ifNo clear changes in strategy or performance.
Why it matters: This shows that the Ansys acquisition is going well.
Supportive ifAnsys revenue is $2.98 billion or more.
Worry ifAnsys revenue is less than $2.8 billion.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$128 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $507 loss on $10,000 · 5.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,887 loss on $10,000 · 38.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: This shows how well Synopsys is doing in a tough market.
Watch forManagement increases the revenue growth target. It is now above 10%.
Also watch forManagement decreases the revenue growth target. It is now below 5%.
Why it matters: Meeting or beating EPS guidance shows strong profits and good operations.
Supportive ifQ3 non-GAAP EPS guidance meets or exceeds $3.63.
Worry ifQ3 non-GAAP EPS guidance falls below $3.63.
Why it matters: Completion shows trust in financial health and a promise to give value to shareholders.
Supportive ifSynopsys completes the share repurchase program as planned by June 1, 2026.
Worry ifThe share repurchase program is delayed or scaled back due to financial concerns.
Why it matters: Exceeding guidance would confirm strong demand and growth momentum in the business.
Supportive ifQ4 revenue guidance is over $2.58 billion. This shows continued strength.
Worry ifQ4 revenue guidance is below $2.53 billion. This suggests weakening demand.
Why it matters: Updates on the share repurchase program will show how well capital is used.
Watch forManagement says the share buyback program is done or going faster.
Also watch forManagement delays or stops the share buyback program.
Why it matters: Completion signals confidence in financial health and can support share price.
Supportive ifThe company completes the share repurchase and reports it in a press release.
Worry ifThe share buyback is delayed or cut back a lot.
Why it matters: If revenue growth falls below its median, it signals a slowdown in the sector. This could affect Synopsys' growth outlook.
Worry ifSector revenue growth drops below its median rate for the last year.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median rate.