Southern Company (SO)
NYSEUtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-07-07
$97.27+1.33%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $97.27. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $97 SO trades at 2.7× p/b, in line with its 2.3× p/b peer median — but our blended $87 fair value sits below the price. It's a high-confidence read. Analysts target $87–$105. Note: our $87 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($87–$105). Even valued only for durable growth at sustainable margins, it's worth about $105 — above today's price, so the premium reflects that growth case, not pure multiple expansion. Not investment advice.
$87.00 – $105.00 (median $99.00) · 8 analysts · as of 2026-06-24
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $99.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| graham number | 12M | $59.12 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $82.35 | 2.3 | 35.38 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $107.28 | 24.4 | 4.39 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $82.18 | 3.1 | 26.75 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $116.27 | 26.5 | 4.39 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $41.10 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $91.40 | 20.8 | 4.39 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $110.60 | 24.4 | 4.53 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $95.10 | 2.3 | 40.86 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $131.21 | 24.4 | 5.37 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $97.42 | 3.1 | 31.71 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $142.20 | 26.5 | 5.37 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $111.78 | 20.8 | 5.37 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $104.68 | 2.3 | 44.97 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $146.61 | 24.4 | 6.00 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $108.86 | 3.1 | 35.44 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $158.90 | 26.5 | 6.00 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $124.91 | 20.8 | 6.00 | Analyst | high |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.