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SO

Southern Company

NYSEUtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-05-08

$91.80-0.68%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, SO has a composite score of 19.4 and a signal label of "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 75.3 and various macroeconomic factors, including rates, labor, inflation, and growth. The analysis is provisional, reflecting uncertainties in the current guidance and sector trends.

Composite +19as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
neutral
Mid-cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    1.00
  • Slope (norm)
    -0.07
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
1703176425941007
F2 · Value
neutral
Mid-cohort by earnings yield
Why this rank
Price
$91.80
TTM EPS
$4.75
Earnings yield
5.2%
P/E (TTM)
19.3

Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3

F3 · Earnings quality
robust
Top 10% cash conversion in utilities cohort
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
5,170
TTM CFO ($M)
19,232
CFO/NI
3.72
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
Insufficient data
No score yet
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
bearish7 analysts, 29% Buyfor period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $1.04 → $1.02 (-2.6% / 30d). 0 raised, 3 cut, 7 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 1 downgrade / 30d, 2 maintained. 29% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

3 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 5.6% above current price.

Material events

0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
1

Recent 8-K events

No recent events recorded.

2

Stated priorities

Insufficient transcript history for this ticker.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
moderateworst 12m loss −15%, typical day ±0.7%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 18%; 252d 16%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −15%. Bad day move −2%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLU) 0.05 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 73/100, drawdown 70/100, beta 5/100, earnings vol .

Sector regime
headwind-6.6%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLU

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. No material changes since the prior snapshot.

No material changes since the prior snapshot.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite58.7 / 100
Capital allocation48
Earnings discipline77
Margin discipline74
Balance sheet48
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction48

Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 1 guided quarters · 0.0% avg surprise

as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.

5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
37higher = cheaper

Looks more expensive than peers.

Compared to its own history
higher = cheaper

Self-history needs ~20 months of data.

P/E
21.1x
EV/EBITDA
8.5x
FCF yield
-3.7%

P/E over the last 5 years

0 monthly points
Self-history needs ~20 months of TTM data; this ticker isn’t there yet.
fairas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
SO
Southern Company
+19fairmoderate
NEE
NextEra Energy
+19fullmoderate
CEG
Constellation Energy
+16fullelevated
DUK
Duke Energy
+28inexpensivemoderate
AEP
American Electric Power
+18fullmoderate
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
0.7%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-1.7%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-15.0%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
moderateas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If utilities sector trend rises from -0.04 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
  • If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-30)+4.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-30)-8.0 pts
  • If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
  • If utilities sector trend falls from -0.04 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-04-309d agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including the exhibits attached hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities under that Section. Furthermore, such information, including the exhibits attached hereto, shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as…

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 54
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-02-19 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.