Solstice Advanced Materials (SOLS)
NASDAQMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
$63.73+3.85%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SOLS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is still in the top half of its industry but slipped notably this past month — worth watching.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 24.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 213 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 18.6 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers
SOLS — M&A activity — Termination of Material Definitive Agreement
Dated 2026-08-27
Termination of Material Definitive Agreement. As previously disclosed, on July 6, 2026, Solstice Advanced Materials Inc., a Delaware corporation (“Solstice”), entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger (the “Merger Agreement”) with Solar Merger Sub One Inc., a Delaware corporation and a wholly-owned subsidiary of Solstice (“Merger Sub One”), Solar Merger Sub Two LLC, a Delaware limited liability company and a wholly-owned subsidiary of Solstice (“Merger Sub Two”), and Element Solutions Inc,…
Why it matters: The margin results show how well the company controls costs while growing.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin was between 25% and 26% for Q2 2026.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EBITDA margin was below 25% for Q2 2026.
Why it matters: The materials sector is going down. Growth would show a possible recovery for Solstice.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth reported as positive for the first time in three years.
Worry ifSector revenue growth is still negative. This confirms the decline is ongoing.
Why it matters: News on the acquisition could change growth plans and market position.
Watch forA new deal or progress on the Element Solutions purchase.
Also watch forMore delays or ending the acquisition plans.
Why it matters: This change is important for keeping margins and following rules.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin stays the same or gets better from 25.1% in Q2 2026.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EBITDA margin drops more due to issues with the refrigerant change.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$205 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $512 loss on $10,000 · 5.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,752 loss on $10,000 · 37.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Continued growth in Nuclear is crucial for overall sales performance. It shows market strength.
Supportive ifNuclear segment revenue grows year over year by more than 20% in Q3.
Worry ifNuclear segment revenue growth falls below 10% year over year in Q3.
Why it matters: A drop in the EBITDA margin may show operational or cost issues.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin is below 25% for Q3 2026.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EBITDA margin is above 25% for Q3 2026.
Why it matters: The acquisition is key for growth and expected to bring $180 million in synergies. Delays could impact growth plans.
Supportive ifThe acquisition closes on time in the first half of 2027 with all approvals secured.
Worry ifThe acquisition may be delayed or may not get needed approvals.
Why it matters: Growth in net sales shows strong demand. Key areas include Nuclear and Electronics.
Supportive ifQ3 net sales were over $1,030 million. This shows double-digit growth is ongoing.
Worry ifQ3 net sales drop below $990 million. This shows demand is weakening.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show how the company performed in a tough sector. It helps investors gauge future growth.
Watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth turning positive year over year.
Also watch forEarnings report shows revenue declining year over year.
Why it matters: A $500 million buyback could show that management trusts the company.
Supportive ifThere is an announcement of share buybacks totaling $500 million.
Worry ifNo major share buybacks announced in the next six months.
Why it matters: Net sales below this threshold may indicate weakening demand in key segments.
Worry ifQ3 net sales reported below $990 million.
Less concerning ifQ3 net sales reported above $1,030 million.