Sono-Tek Corp (SOTK)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-05
$4.34-3.77%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SOTK
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is still in the top half of its industry but slipped notably this past month — worth watching.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -34.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 17.0% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 51.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 46 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SOTK — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-14
Results of Operations and Financial Condition.
Why it matters: Alternative energy sales fell 85% in the first half as clean-energy orders weakened. A rebound would ease pressure from that market.
Supportive ifFY 2027 alternative energy sales for the full year top the first-half total of $855,000.
Worry ifFY 2027 alternative energy sales for the full year stay at or below $855,000.
Why it matters: Medical sales reached $7.05 million in the first half, about 65% of total sales. A high share would show that this growth driver continues.
Supportive ifIn the next reported half-year, medical sales exceed half of total revenue and grow year over year.
Worry ifMedical sales fall below half of total revenue, or fall from a year earlier, in the next reported half-year.
Why it matters: Management kept its FY 2027 revenue view at flat to modest growth. Revenue above that range would show large orders shipped on time.
Supportive ifFY 2027 revenue grows above FY 2026 revenue of $20.9 million, with management citing shipments of large orders.
Worry ifFY 2027 revenue falls below FY 2026's $20.9 million, or management cites delayed large orders.
Why it matters: First-half margin was 55%, but management linked the increase to favorable product and regional mix. A return to 51% or higher would support the margin trend.
Supportive ifFull-year FY 2027 gross margin is 51% or higher.
Worry ifFull-year FY 2027 gross margin falls below 51%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$206 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $543 loss on $10,000 · 5.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,939 loss on $10,000 · 39.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Three orders worth about $7.19 million are due to ship in FY 2028. Their delivery would support the larger backlog and revenue visibility.
Supportive ifSono-Tek reports that it shipped the three orders, worth about $7.19 million in total, during FY 2028.
Worry ifThe company reports delays or cancellations. Or it ships far less than the stated $7.19 million total.