SoundHound AI, Inc. (SOUN)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$6.740.00%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SOUN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -35.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 37.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 72.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 119 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SOUN — CEO transition
Dated 2026-09-04
CFO — John Collins: The filing discloses the appointment of John Collins as CFO following a merger, which is a significant executive hire rather than a departure.
Why it matters: A slowdown could impact SoundHound's ability to achieve its revenue goals.
Worry ifSector revenue growth is below its median. This shows a wider slowdown.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains strong, supporting SoundHound's targets.
Why it matters: If the merger goes well, it could boost growth and operations.
Supportive ifLook for news about important steps or the end of the merger process.
Worry ifDelays or complications in the merger process that hinder progress.
Why it matters: A smaller loss shows better cost control and efficiency.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA loss narrows below $(9.6) million in Q3.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA loss goes up or stays above $(9.6) million in Q3.
Why it matters: High adoption rates for OASYS signal successful product launch and market acceptance. Low adoption may raise concerns.
Supportive ifOASYS adoption metrics show strong growth. This indicates strong market demand.
Worry ifOASYS adoption metrics are flat or falling. This suggests market resistance.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$249 on $10,000 · ±2.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $728 loss on $10,000 · 7.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,336 loss on $10,000 · 73.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Higher gross margins mean better cost control and profit. Lower margins might indicate problems in operations.
Supportive ifQ3 gross margins rise to over 45%. This shows better cost management.
Worry ifQ3 gross margins fall below 40%. This indicates possible cost issues.
Why it matters: High revenue growth shows strong demand. This helps the company's growth story.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth exceeds 50% year-over-year.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth drops below 40% year-over-year.
Why it matters: Completing the acquisition will grow SoundHound's customer base. It will also improve its AI skills.
Supportive ifThe acquisition will close in the second half of 2026. It will get all needed approvals.
Worry ifThe acquisition may be delayed or fail. This could happen due to regulatory issues or other problems.
Why it matters: The deal could greatly increase SoundHound's market reach and revenue. Delays may hurt growth plans.
Watch forThe closing date for the deal is announced on time.
Also watch forMore delays or problems in the deal process.
Why it matters: Cash burn trends will show the company's financial health and efficiency.
Worry ifCash burn decreases to below $50 million in Q3.
Less concerning ifCash burn increases above $60 million in Q3.
Why it matters: New deals would show ongoing demand for SoundHound's AI solutions and support revenue growth.
Supportive ifAt least three new enterprise deals announced in Q3.
Worry ifNo new enterprise deals reported in Q3.
Why it matters: The acquisition could greatly increase revenue. This will affect future growth.
Supportive ifManagement changes 2026 revenue guidance to $350M-$400M after the deal.
Worry ifGuidance stays the same or is lowered after the acquisition closes.
Why it matters: Maintaining strong revenue growth signals ongoing demand for SoundHound's AI solutions. It would confirm the momentum from Q2's 45% growth.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth exceeds 40% year-over-year.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth falls below 30% year-over-year.
Why it matters: Better profit metrics show good cost management and a way to grow steadily.
Supportive ifGAAP operating loss improves by at least 30% compared to the previous quarter.
Worry ifGAAP operating loss worsens or does not improve compared to the previous quarter.