SOW GOOD INC (SOWG)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesFood ConfectionersSnapshot 2026-11-05
NASDAQConsumer StaplesFood ConfectionersSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SOWG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 345.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| -60.0% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 405.0 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 2 industry peers
SOWG — director transition
Dated 2026-05-11
director — David E. Lazar: Mr. Lazar resigned as a director without a named successor.
Why it matters: SOWG has extended the deal timeline more than once. A firm close date or another delay would show how the process is moving.
Watch forA filing sets a new close date, and the deal closes by that date.
Also watch forA new filing extends the outside date again, or the deal ends without closing.
Why it matters: The project figures come from older reports under a different code. A new report would test those claims under U.S. rules.
Watch forSOWG releases an independent S-K 1300 report. It supports the key Nachu resource and project figures.
Also watch forThe report finds lower resource or project figures, or SOWG says it cannot complete the report.
Why it matters: The announced facility is only a term sheet. Final loan papers would confirm access to funds for the Nachu plan.
Supportive ifSOWG files the final credit papers and confirms up to $20 million is available to draw.
Worry ifSOWG discloses that the facility did not close or that final loan papers were not signed.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$344 on $10,000 · ±3.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,472 loss on $10,000 · 14.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,223 loss on $10,000 · 92.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.