SOW GOOD INC (SOWG)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesFood ConfectionersSnapshot 2026-09-04
$3.04-7.88%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesFood ConfectionersSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SOWG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 345.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| -60.0% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 405.0 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 2 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SOWG — director transition
Dated 2026-05-11
director — David E. Lazar: Mr. Lazar resigned as a director without a named successor.
Why it matters: Compliance is crucial for maintaining the company's listing status. Non-compliance could lead to delisting risks.
Worry ifManagement will give a public update on Nasdaq rules by Q4 2026.
Less concerning ifNo progress report on compliance by Q4 2026, indicating ongoing issues.
Why it matters: Following Nasdaq rules is key to keeping the listing. Not following them could hurt investor trust.
Worry ifThe company says it fixed compliance issues and keeps its Nasdaq listing.
Less concerning ifThe company does not fix compliance issues, risking its Nasdaq listing.
Why it matters: Closing this acquisition could boost growth and improve SOWG's market position.
Supportive ifA press release says the acquisition is complete.
Worry ifThe acquisition is delayed or falls through entirely.
Why it matters: This acquisition is key to Sow Good's shift to critical minerals. It could boost growth and market position.
Supportive ifThe deal will close if all stockholder and regulatory approvals are on time.
Worry ifThe deal will not close if stockholder or regulatory conditions are not met.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$471 on $10,000 · ±4.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,422 loss on $10,000 · 14.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,239 loss on $10,000 · 92.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A successful issuance can help SOWG's finances and growth plans.
Supportive ifA press release confirming the successful issuance of the $100M in common stock.
Worry ifThe issuance fails or is significantly delayed.
Why it matters: Confirmation would show revenue potential and lower project risk. It matters for financing talks.
Supportive ifManagement confirms the binding offtake agreement with a Tier-1 EV maker by 2026.
Worry ifIf there is no news on the offtake agreement by 2026, it raises demand concerns.
Why it matters: Taking the full amount shows strong support for the Nachu acquisition and its needs.
Supportive ifThe company announces that it has drawn the full $20 million from the credit facility.
Worry ifThe company takes less than $10 million from the facility. This may show cash flow issues.