South Plains Financial, Inc. (SPFI)
NASDAQFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-09-04
NASDAQFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SPFI
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $46 SPFI trades at 1.4× p/b, in line with its 1.2× p/b peer median, and our $41 fair value agrees. It's a high-confidence read. Even valued only for durable growth at sustainable margins, it's worth about $49 — above today's price, so the premium reflects that growth case, not pure multiple expansion. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $32.83 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $147.27 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $11.73 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $51.24 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $39.43 |
| 1.2 |
| 31.79 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $44.47 | 11.7 | 3.81 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $44.47 | 10.9 | 4.08 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $42.37 | 3.2 | 13.41 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $70.18 | 19.1 | 3.67 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $35.99 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $43.58 | 11.9 | 3.67 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $46.03 | 11.9 | 3.85 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $59.97 | 1.2 | 48.35 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $62.25 | 11.7 | 5.33 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $46.52 | 10.9 | 4.27 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $44.22 | 3.2 | 13.99 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $81.67 | 19.1 | 4.27 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $50.71 | 11.9 | 4.27 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $79.31 | 1.2 | 63.94 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $77.89 | 11.7 | 6.67 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $47.84 | 10.9 | 4.39 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $45.48 | 3.2 | 14.39 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $83.98 | 19.1 | 4.39 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $52.14 | 11.9 | 4.39 | Analyst | high |