Spok Holdings, Inc. (SPOK)
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Healthcare Information ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$10.71+0.28%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Healthcare Information ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SPOK
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -39.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -2.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 36.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 21 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SPOK — dividend update
Dated 2026-07-29
Other Events. On July 29, 2026 , the Board declared a regular quarterly dividend of $0.3125 per share of the Company's common stock payable on September 9, 2026, to stockholders of record on August 19, 2026.
Why it matters: If wireless units stay the same or grow, it shows better customer loyalty and more money.
Supportive ifWireless units in service remain flat or increase from 645,000 units.
Worry ifWireless units in service decline further from 645,000 units.
Why it matters: Stabilizing wireless units means customers are staying. This helps keep revenue steady.
Supportive ifWireless units in service decline by less than 1% in Q3.
Worry ifWireless units in service decline by more than 2% in Q3.
Why it matters: Changes to revenue guidance show management's trust in future results.
Watch forManagement raises revenue guidance for 2026 to over $136 million in Q3.
Also watch forManagement lowers revenue guidance for 2026 to below $136 million in Q3.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it could signal a positive shift for Spok Holdings. This would help the company as it operates in a maturing sector.
Supportive ifHealth care sector revenue growth is speeding up again. It is now close to 10% year over year.
Worry ifRevenue growth is slowing down. It is now below 10% year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$111 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $292 loss on $10,000 · 2.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,717 loss on $10,000 · 37.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: AI can improve products and make operations better. It helps future growth.
Supportive ifManagement shares a big step in AI for product development.
Worry ifNo updates or progress reported on AI integration in the next earnings call.
Why it matters: Strong bookings growth shows demand for Spok's software. This means more money in the future.
Supportive ifSoftware operations bookings increase year over year by more than 10%.
Worry ifSoftware operations bookings decline year over year or grow less than 5%.
Why it matters: Stable ARPU shows that Spok can maintain pricing and customer value in its wireless segment.
Supportive ifWireless ARPU stays above $8.20 for two quarters in a row.
Worry ifWireless ARPU falls below $8.20 for two quarters in a row.
Why it matters: Cost savings from the realignment can help make more money and improve cash flow.
Supportive ifManagement says they saved over $6 million each year from the realignment.
Worry ifCost savings are under $4 million or management cuts savings goals.