SPX Technologies (SPXC)
NYSEIndustrialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$153.47-6.11%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SPXC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -22.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 20.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 43.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 17 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SPXC — director transition
Dated 2026-07-27
Director — Brian Deck: Brian Deck was elected as a director and appointed to the Audit and Governance & Sustainability Committees.
Why it matters: HVAC sales rose 35.5%, but its margin fell from 24.4%. A recovery would show that new capacity can handle more work at better margins.
Supportive ifHVAC segment margin rises above 23.0% in a later quarter as capacity grows.
Worry ifHVAC segment margin falls below 23.0% as growth costs and supply chain delays remain high.
Why it matters: Q3 adjusted free cash flow fell to $23.1 million from $90.8 million a year ago. A rebound would ease concern about the cash cost of expansion.
Supportive ifAdjusted free cash flow rises above $23.1 million in the next reported quarter.
Worry ifAdjusted free cash flow stays at or below $23.1 million in the next reported quarter.
Why it matters: SPX raised its revenue range, but its latest results also show a sharp drop in momentum. Revenue above the low end would support its growth story.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 revenue is at least $2.745 billion, the low end of its latest range.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 revenue is below $2.745 billion, or SPX cuts its revenue range again.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$133 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $456 loss on $10,000 · 4.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,772 loss on $10,000 · 37.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.