SPX Technologies (SPXC)
NYSEIndustrialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$196.37+1.26%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SPXC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 5.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 16.9% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 11.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 26 industry peers
SPXC — director transition
Dated 2026-07-27
Director — Brian Deck: Brian Deck was elected as a director and appointed to the Audit and Governance & Sustainability Committees.
Why it matters: Higher operating income means SPX Technologies is keeping costs down. This is key for profits.
Supportive ifQ2 operating income rises above $87.7M. This shows good cost management.
Worry ifQ2 operating income drops below $87.7M. This hints at cost management problems.
Why it matters: A drop in segment income margin may show cost management issues.
Worry ifHVAC segment income margin is below 24.25%.
Less concerning ifHVAC segment income margin is above 24.25%.
Why it matters: Lower cash flow may raise worries about financial health and efficiency.
Worry ifCash flow from operations is below $30 million.
Less concerning ifCash flow from operations exceeds $30 million.
Why it matters: Stable cash flow shows better financial health and support for future investments.
Supportive ifNet operating cash flow is over $90 million for two quarters in a row.
Worry ifNet operating cash flow is below $70 million for two quarters in a row.
Why it matters: New acquisitions could enhance growth and market position in HVAC.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of new acquisitions in the HVAC segment.
Worry ifNo new acquisitions announced in the HVAC segment.
Why it matters: Faster growth in the sector could help SPX do better.
Watch forSector revenue growth goes above 8% in the next quarter.
Also watch forSector revenue growth remains below 6% in the next quarter.
Why it matters: A steady or better EBITDA margin shows good cost control and efficiency.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA margin is over 23% in Q3.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin falls below 22% in Q3.
Why it matters: More revenue capacity in data centers helps long-term growth. It shows recent investments are working.
Supportive ifAnnual data center revenue can reach $1.1 billion. This happens as production increases.
Worry ifCapacity stays below $1.1 billion or there are delays in production.
Why it matters: Steady revenue growth shows strong demand and good growth strategies.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth is over 20% year-over-year. This shows strong demand.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth is below 15% year-over-year. This shows weak demand.
Why it matters: Strong cash flow helps with investments and shows how well the company operates.
Supportive ifNet operating cash flow exceeds $90 million in Q3.
Worry ifNet operating cash flow is below $70 million. This shows cash flow problems.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$173 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $381 loss on $10,000 · 3.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,385 loss on $10,000 · 23.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.