Presidio Property Trust Inc (SQFT)
NASDAQReal EstateReit - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-09-04
$1.32-6.38%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQReal EstateReit - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SQFT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -85.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -8.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 77.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 15 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SQFT — legal / regulatory event — Triggering Events That Accelerate or Increase a Direct Financial Obligation o…
Dated 2026-01-23
Triggering Events That Accelerate or Increase a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement. On January 21, 2026, Presidio Property Trust, Inc. (the “Company”) and NetREIT SC II, LLC, a subsidiary of the Company (the “Borrower”), received a notice (the “Default Notice”) from Wells Fargo Bank, National Association (the “Lender”) alleging that the Borrower’s failure to repay in full by January 5, 2026 the indebtedness owed under that certain promissory no…
Why it matters: A fall in operating income shows ongoing money-making problems. Investors want to see better results.
Worry ifQ2 operating income falls below $2.23M, the last known amount.
Less concerning ifQ2 operating income rises or stays above $2.23M.
Why it matters: This lease extension secures income from a major tenant, which could stabilize revenue. It reflects tenant confidence in the property.
Supportive ifRevenue from the Baltimore property goes up or stays the same in the next earnings report.
Worry ifRevenue from the Baltimore property drops a lot in the next earnings report.
Why it matters: High tenant retention supports stable revenue. Metrics will clarify if efforts are effective.
Supportive ifMetrics show tenant retention is over 90% in the model home division.
Worry ifRetention metrics show a decline below 80% in the model home division.
Why it matters: Revenue drops show issues with stability. This impacts overall growth.
Worry ifQ2 revenue falls below $3.77M, the last reported figure.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue rises or stays above $3.77M.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$211 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,046 loss on $10,000 · 10.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,514 loss on $10,000 · 85.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A return to net income shows better financial health and stability.
Supportive ifNet income reported as positive in the next quarter.
Worry ifNet income remains negative in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Management's focus on model home investments in growth markets could drive future revenue. Progress here is crucial for growth.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of at least one new model home investment in a targeted growth market by Q2 2027.
Worry ifNo new model home investments announced by Q2 2027.
Why it matters: Stable revenue helps deal with market challenges. Recent drops in revenue raise concerns about future performance.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue was at least $3.77M. This shows stability.
Worry ifQ2 revenue falls below $3.77M, showing continued decline.
Why it matters: Steady or rising rental income from model homes shows that tenants stay. It also shows demand.
Supportive ifModel home rental income reported above $919,890 in the Q2 earnings report.
Worry ifModel home rental income reported below $919,890 in the Q2 earnings report.
Why it matters: Lower interest costs would help cash flow and make profits look better.
Supportive ifInterest costs were below $2.1 million in the Q2 earnings report.
Worry ifInterest costs were at or above $2.1 million in the Q2 earnings report.
Why it matters: Better cash flow is key for financial health. Recent changes show a need for better management.
Supportive ifQ2 cash from operations was positive, over $0.80M.
Worry ifQ2 cash from operations remains negative, below $0.80M.
Why it matters: Better tenant retention can lead to steady or rising rental income. This is key for making more money.
Supportive ifIf tenant retention rates go up, rental income from model homes will rise.
Worry ifIf tenant retention rates go down, rental income from model homes will fall.
Why it matters: More impairment charges might mean bigger problems with property values. This affects financial health.
Worry ifImpairment charges exceed $524,373 in the next quarter.
Less concerning ifImpairment charges remain below $524,373 in the next quarter.
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth picks up, it could benefit Presidio's performance. This signals a healthier market.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth speeds up above 4% year over year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth remains below 4% year over year.
Why it matters: New investments in model homes signal growth in target markets. This is key for future revenue.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of new model home investments in areas with strong tech and AI employment.
Worry ifNo new model home investments announced in the next quarter.
Why it matters: If the real estate sector sees revenue growth speed up, it could help SQFT. This would signal a better market environment.
Supportive ifReal estate sector revenue growth rises above 5% year over year.
Worry ifReal estate sector revenue growth remains below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: The exchange offer may change the capital structure and stockholder feelings. If it works, it could help liquidity.
Supportive ifAt least 50% of Series D Preferred Stock holders join the exchange offer by October 2, 2026.
Worry ifLess than 25% of Series D Preferred Stock holders join the exchange offer by October 2, 2026.
Why it matters: Good tenant retention helps keep revenue steady in model homes. This is important because revenue from model homes has gone down recently.
Supportive ifTenant retention rate improves or remains above 90% in the next quarter.
Worry ifTenant retention rate falls below 85% in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Lower G&A expenses can improve profitability. Progress here is crucial for financial health.
Supportive ifG&A expenses reported below $1.5 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifG&A expenses remain above $1.7 million in the next quarter.
Why it matters: A rise in Core FFO shows better performance and stronger finances.
Supportive ifCore FFO improves to less negative than ($1.9 million) in the next quarter.
Worry ifCore FFO remains at or worsens from ($1.9 million) in the next quarter.