Sensata Technologies (ST)
NYSEIndustrialsHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$41.12-1.25%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ST
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -21.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 25.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 23 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ST — debt issuance
Dated 2026-06-01
Other Events. On June 1, 2026, Sensata Technologies Holding plc (“Sensata”) and its indirect, wholly owned subsidiaries Sensata Technologies B.V. (“STBV”) and Sensata Technologies, Inc. (“STI” and, together with STBV, the “Offerors”), announced the early tender results for the previously announced tender offers (the “Tender Offers”) to purchase for cash up to $350,000,000 in total cash consideration payable, excluding applicable accrued and unpaid interest, for, in the case of STBV, 4.000% Se…
Why it matters: Sensata's Q4 guide calls for $942 million to $972 million in revenue. Meeting the low end would keep growth on track.
Supportive ifQ4 2026 revenue is at least $942 million, the low end of the $942 million to $972 million guide.
Worry ifQ4 2026 revenue is below $942 million.
Why it matters: Sensata paid off about $406 million of debt through its tender offer. Another reported decline would show it is still reducing debt.
Supportive ifReported long-term debt, net, falls below $2,393.2 million, its September 30, 2026 level.
Worry ifReported long-term debt, net, rises above $2,393.2 million.
Why it matters: The Q4 guide calls for adjusted EPS of $0.95 to $0.99. A result below the low end would miss that guide.
Worry ifQ4 2026 adjusted EPS is below $0.95, the low end of the guide.
Less concerning ifQ4 2026 adjusted EPS is at least $0.95.
Why it matters: The Q3 customer payment added 2.6 points to organic growth. Growth that holds without it would show stronger underlying sales.
Supportive ifIn the next reported quarter, organic revenue is higher than a year ago. Do not count any one-time customer termination payment.
Worry ifOrganic revenue is flat or lower than a year ago. Do not count one-time payments.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$121 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $391 loss on $10,000 · 3.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,480 loss on $10,000 · 24.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Sensata reported $198.3 million of Q3 free cash flow and used cash to cut debt and return money to shareholders. A sharp drop would limit that room.
Watch forA reported quarter shows free cash flow of at least $198 million.
Also watch forA reported quarter shows free cash flow below $150 million.