Sensata Technologies (ST)
NYSEIndustrialsHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$43.08+2.52%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ST
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -35.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 40.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers
ST — debt issuance
Dated 2026-06-01
Other Events. On June 1, 2026, Sensata Technologies Holding plc (“Sensata”) and its indirect, wholly owned subsidiaries Sensata Technologies B.V. (“STBV”) and Sensata Technologies, Inc. (“STI” and, together with STBV, the “Offerors”), announced the early tender results for the previously announced tender offers (the “Tender Offers”) to purchase for cash up to $350,000,000 in total cash consideration payable, excluding applicable accrued and unpaid interest, for, in the case of STBV, 4.000% Se…
Why it matters: Reducing debt helps the balance sheet and makes finances stronger.
Supportive ifLook for news about more debt reduction steps or offers.
Worry ifWatch for no news on debt reduction or if debt goes up.
Why it matters: This guidance shows how much money the company makes. Meeting or beating it means good performance.
Supportive ifAdjusted EPS guidance meets or exceeds the midpoint of $0.95.
Worry ifAdjusted EPS guidance falls below $0.93.
Why it matters: Faster growth in the industrial sector could help Sensata do better.
Watch forSector revenue growth returns to above 10% year over year.
Also watch forSector revenue growth remains below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Cutting debt helps the company's finances. It shows management cares about a strong balance sheet.
Supportive ifLong-term debt goes down a lot after the tender offer.
Worry ifLong-term debt stays the same or goes up.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$171 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $388 loss on $10,000 · 3.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,347 loss on $10,000 · 23.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A drop below this level could signal cash generation issues.
Worry ifFree cash flow conversion reported below 100%.
Less concerning ifFree cash flow conversion reported at or above 100%.
Why it matters: News about debt management can change financial stability. It can also affect investor trust.
Watch forGood news on debt management or successful tender offers would show strong financial health.
Also watch forBad news or failure to execute tender offers would raise worries about financial health.
Why it matters: Less free cash flow may hurt returns for shareholders and managing debt.
Worry ifFree cash flow for Q3 is reported below $186 million.
Less concerning ifFree cash flow for Q3 meets or exceeds $186 million.
Why it matters: An increase in net debt could signal issues with financial health or cash flow.
Worry ifNet debt reported above $2.424 billion.
Less concerning ifNet debt reported below or equal to $2.424 billion.
Why it matters: Strong cash flow helps keep operations running and rewards shareholders. It shows good resource management.
Supportive ifNet cash from operations is over $122 million in Q2 2026.
Worry ifNet cash from operations is below $122 million.
Why it matters: This tender offer shows Sensata's focus on its debt. Completing it would improve its finances.
Supportive ifThe tender offer is successful if it buys at least $400 million in senior notes.
Worry ifThe tender offer fails if it does not reach the $400 million target.
Why it matters: Falling below this range could signal a slowdown in organic growth momentum.
Worry ifQ3 revenue guidance is below $957 million.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue guidance remains at or above $957 million.
Why it matters: Lower EPS guidance may show less profit. This could hurt investor trust.
Worry ifAdjusted EPS guidance is below $0.93.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EPS guidance remains at or above $0.93.
Why it matters: Reducing debt helps keep finances stable. It shows what management cares about.
Supportive ifLong-term debt decreases further from $2,424.8 million in Q2.
Worry ifLong-term debt is going up or staying the same.
Why it matters: A slowdown may show trouble in keeping growth going.
Worry ifOrganic revenue growth is below 4.4% in future quarters.
Less concerning ifOrganic revenue growth remains at or above 4.4%.