Star Equity Holdings Inc (STRR)
NASDAQIndustrialsConglomeratesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$10.62+0.95%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsConglomeratesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · STRR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -88.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 14.0% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 102.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 9 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
STRR — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-14
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION. On August 14, 2026, Star Equity Holdings, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release announcing its financial results for the three months ended June 30, 2026. A copy of such press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. In addition, on August 14, 2026, the Company issued a presentation supplementary to its press release, which presentation is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.2. The information in this Current Re…
Why it matters: Ongoing earnings misses will show ongoing financial problems. This may hurt investor confidence.
Worry ifThe company reports another earnings miss in Q2 2026.
Less concerning ifThe company reports a profit or meets earnings expectations in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: This issuance will change the company's capital structure. It will affect funding for growth.
Supportive ifThe debt issuance is complete. No bad conditions were reported.
Worry ifThe debt issuance was not completed. Unfavorable terms were disclosed.
Why it matters: Growth in Energy Services shows strong demand and good performance.
Supportive ifEnergy Services revenue increases year over year by more than 10% in Q3.
Worry ifEnergy Services revenue declines or stays flat year over year in Q3.
Why it matters: This report will show if the company can improve its earnings after recent misses. Investors will look for signs of recovery.
Watch forQ2 2026 earnings show a smaller net loss than the $4.4 million loss reported in Q1 2026.
Also watch forQ2 2026 earnings show a larger net loss than $4.4 million.
Why it matters: Star Equity has not met earnings expectations lately. Better results could mean a change.
Supportive ifThe Q2 earnings report shows net income above -$3.79M. This shows better performance.
Worry ifQ2 earnings report shows net income worse than -$3.79M, confirming ongoing struggles.
Why it matters: More savings show the merger is working well. It also shows good cost control.
Supportive ifMerger savings are more than $3.0 million each year.
Worry ifMerger savings are below $2.6 million each year.
Why it matters: A return to revenue growth could show a positive change for Star Equity and the sector.
Supportive ifRevenue growth for Star Equity shows improvement, moving back toward previous highs.
Worry ifIf revenue growth keeps falling or stays flat, it shows ongoing problems in the sector.
Why it matters: A rebound in sector revenue growth could benefit Star Equity and improve its market outlook.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth is speeding up again. This shows a stronger industrial environment.
Worry ifSector revenue growth is slowing down. This means there are still challenges ahead.
Why it matters: Smart use of debt can help financial stability. It can also boost growth chances.
Watch forThe company successfully issues debt of up to $8.7 million as planned.
Also watch forThe company fails to execute the debt issuance or announces a delay.
Why it matters: Better earnings mean the company is solving its money problems. This can raise investor confidence.
Supportive ifThe company reports a smaller net loss than in previous quarters.
Worry ifThe company reports a larger net loss than in previous quarters.
Why it matters: New contracts can boost revenue and show recovery in the Building Solutions division. This is crucial after recent performance issues.
Supportive ifThe division has contracts worth more than $4 million in total.
Worry ifThe division continues to face delays with no new contracts awarded.
Why it matters: Paying dividends shows that a company is stable. It also shows they care about shareholders.
Supportive ifThe company declares a cash dividend of $0.25 per share on preferred stock.
Worry ifNo dividend is announced. This may mean the company has financial problems.
Why it matters: Growth in Building Solutions revenue is key to recovery after a weak Q1 and Q2.
Supportive ifBuilding Solutions revenue increases year over year by more than 10% in Q3.
Worry ifBuilding Solutions revenue declines year over year or grows less than 5% in Q3.
Why it matters: Higher merger synergies mean better integration. This leads to better cost control after the merger.
Supportive ifMerger synergies are over $3 million each year in Q3.
Worry ifMerger synergies are at or below $3 million each year in Q3.
Why it matters: Ongoing share buybacks show that management believes in the company's value. They are willing to spend.
Supportive ifThe company bought back over $1 million in shares in Q3.
Worry ifNo share repurchases occur in Q3.
Why it matters: Better adjusted EBITDA shows that operations are improving. It also means better cost control.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA rises to over $3 million in Q3.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA stays below $2 million in Q3.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$158 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $436 loss on $10,000 · 4.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,168 loss on $10,000 · 21.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.