State Street Corporation (STT)
NYSEFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-09-04
$194.26+0.16%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · STT
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $194 STT trades at 16× p/e, below its 16× p/e peer median, but our blended $170 fair value sits below the price. We hold it with medium confidence: quality doesn't explain valuation multiples in this sub-industry, so the peer comparison is a weak guide. Analysts target $171–$200. Note: our $170 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($171–$200). Even valued only for durable growth at sustainable margins, it's worth about $217 — above today's price, so the premium reflects that growth case, not pure multiple expansion. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $191.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $49.96 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $166.43 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $194.26 | 1.9 | 100.58 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$171.00 – $200.00 (median $191.00) · 9 analysts · as of 2026-07-20
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $194.26 |
| 13.2 |
| 14.73 |
| ntm analyst |
| high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $173.91 | 3.2 | 53.57 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $320.15 | 26.2 | 12.24 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $111.79 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $184.16 | 15.0 | 12.24 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $206.09 | 16.3 | 12.61 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $226.88 | 1.9 | 117.46 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $229.85 | 13.2 | 17.42 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $219.93 | 3.2 | 67.74 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $455.71 | 26.2 | 17.42 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $262.14 | 15.0 | 17.42 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $251.61 | 1.9 | 130.27 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $267.79 | 13.2 | 20.30 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $256.23 | 3.2 | 78.93 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $530.94 | 26.2 | 20.30 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $305.41 | 15.0 | 20.30 | Analyst | high |