Constellation Brands (STZ)
NYSEConsumer StaplesBeverages - BrewersSnapshot 2026-07-07
$131.72+0.80%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 5 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $131.72. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
We can't anchor a clean multiple for STZ right now, so treat our $189 fair value as low-confidence. Analysts target $139–$186. Note: our $189 fair value sits above the entire analyst range ($139–$186). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $160.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $220.44 | 19.3 | 11.45 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $209.08 | 19.3 | 10.86 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $293.83 | 27.1 | 10.86 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$139.00 – $186.00 (median $160.00) · 13 analysts · as of 2026-07-02
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Not enough peers to compare yet.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $213.78 |
| 19.3 |
| 11.10 |
| Triangulated |
| high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $279.60 | 19.3 | 14.52 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $265.19 | 19.3 | 13.77 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $372.68 | 27.1 | 13.77 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $327.62 | 19.3 | 17.02 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $310.73 | 19.3 | 16.14 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $436.69 | 27.1 | 16.14 | Analyst | medium |