Sui Group Holdings Ltd (SUIG)
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Credit ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$0.98-4.82%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Credit ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SUIG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -39.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 8.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 47.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 37 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SUIG — officer change
Dated 2026-07-14
Chief Investment Officer — Stephen Mackintosh: Mr. Mackintosh resigned from his position as Chief Investment Officer.
Why it matters: Growing this partnership could boost revenue and improve the business model.
Supportive ifMore loans to Bluefin or a bigger revenue share from the partnership.
Worry ifNo further loans or a reduction in revenue share from Bluefin.
Why it matters: This would indicate a significant slowdown in the financial sector. It could impact Sui Group's performance and outlook.
Worry ifRevenue growth in the financial sector drops below 15%.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth remains above 15%.
Why it matters: Stable cash flow is important for financial health and running the business well.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations has been positive for two quarters in a row.
Worry ifCash flow from operations is still negative or changes a lot.
Why it matters: If revenue keeps growing, it shows the company is on track with its strategy. This can boost investor confidence.
Supportive ifTotal revenue in Q3 2026 increases year over year by more than 20%.
Worry ifTotal revenue in Q3 2026 does not grow or declines year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$364 on $10,000 · ±3.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,011 loss on $10,000 · 10.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,705 loss on $10,000 · 87.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A bigger net loss shows problems with costs and digital asset prices.
Worry ifNet loss for Q2 2026 reported above $18.9 million.
Less concerning ifNet loss for Q2 2026 reported below $18.9 million.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if the company can recover from its recent earnings miss. It is a key indicator of performance.
Watch forEarnings results show a profit or a smaller loss than previous quarters.
Also watch forEarnings results show a larger loss than the last quarter.
Why it matters: Stable cash flow is important for managing money. It shows how healthy operations are.
Supportive ifCash flow from operating activities was at or above -$1.8 million in Q2.
Worry ifCash flow from operating activities was worse than -$1.8 million in Q2.
Why it matters: A new CIO can change investment plans and affect future results.
Watch forA new Chief Investment Officer has been announced. They have relevant experience.
Also watch forNo new appointment or a candidate that people do not like was announced.
Why it matters: Updates on this plan may show growth in specialty finance and overall progress.
Watch forManagement shares clear metrics or goals for the SUI treasury plan.
Also watch forNo updates or metrics were given on the SUI treasury strategy.
Why it matters: Growth in revenue shows SUI Group's ability to generate income from its strategies. This could indicate strong performance in digital lending and staking.
Supportive ifTotal adjusted revenue for Q3 2026 is over $1.4 million.
Worry ifTotal adjusted revenue for Q3 2026 is under $1.4 million.
Why it matters: Lower net losses show Sui Group is managing costs better. This helps build investor trust.
Supportive ifNet loss reported for Q3 2026 is below $15 million.
Worry ifNet loss reported for Q3 2026 is above $15 million.