SUNATION ENERGY INC (SUNE)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-09-04
$2.36+4.89%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SUNE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -79.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 10.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 89.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 33 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SUNE — credit agreement
Dated 2026-04-15
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. MBB Energy Line of Credit Agreement As previously disclosed, on April 14, 2025, SUNation Energy, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into a Secured Revolving Line of Credit Agreement (the “Line of Credit Agreement”) and Secured Revolving Line of Credit Agreement Note (“Line of Credit Note”) between the Company and MBB Energy, LLC, a New York limited liability company, pursuant to which the Company may request one or more loans of up to an aggregate princip…
Why it matters: The recent equity sales will affect SUNation's capital structure. This is important for growth.
Watch forEquity sales lead to a stronger balance sheet and funding for growth projects.
Also watch forEquity sales do not improve the balance sheet or lead to growth initiatives.
Why it matters: Raising over $3M shows strong investor confidence and helps meet capital needs.
Supportive ifAn announcement of new equity sales that total more than $3M.
Worry ifNot raising more equity or a drop in investor interest is a bad sign.
Why it matters: Reducing long-term debt is key for financial stability. It impacts cash flow and operations.
Supportive ifThe company announces a further reduction in long-term debt by at least $1 million.
Worry ifLong-term debt remains unchanged or increases in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Access to credit is vital for SUNation's operations and growth.
Watch forThe company uses the bigger line of credit and shows better cash flow.
Also watch forThe company has cash flow problems or does not use the credit option well.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$447 on $10,000 · ±4.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,119 loss on $10,000 · 11.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,497 loss on $10,000 · 65.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: SUNation must manage its finances well to stay stable. Bad cash flow can hurt operations.
Worry ifCash from operating activities improves to less than -$3M in the next quarter.
Less concerning ifCash from operating activities worsens beyond -$5M in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Keeping operating costs low is important for better margins and profits. It shows good cost control in a tough market.
Supportive ifOperating costs stay under $5 million in Q3 2026.
Worry ifOperating costs go over $5.5 million in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Closing the merger would boost SUNation's manufacturing and market position. It may also help get money for growth.
Supportive ifThe merger will finish in Q4 2026. It needs all regulatory approvals first.
Worry ifThe merger fails to close by the end of Q4 2026 due to regulatory or shareholder issues.
Why it matters: Buying Suniva could help SUNATION grow and improve its market position.
Supportive ifAn official announcement will show that Suniva is now part of SUNATION.
Worry ifAny delays or problems with the Suniva integration will be a concern.
Why it matters: A drop in total liabilities shows good debt management. This means better financial health.
Supportive ifTotal liabilities decrease by at least 10% by the end of Q3 2026.
Worry ifTotal liabilities increase or remain unchanged by the end of Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Better cash flow shows SUNATION is managing its money well and is stable.
Supportive ifCash from operations will be positive in the next quarter.
Worry ifContinued negative cash flow from operations in the next quarter.
Why it matters: More drops in residential revenue show ongoing market problems after tax credits end.
Worry ifQ3 residential revenue declines more than 30% year over year.
Less concerning ifResidential revenue stabilizes or grows year over year in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Growth in commercial revenue shows good changes after tax credits. This can help offset losses in residential revenue.
Supportive ifCommercial revenue increases by more than 15% year over year in Q3 2026.
Worry ifCommercial revenue growth falls below 5% year over year in Q3 2026.