SUNATION ENERGY INC (SUNE)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-11-04
$2.28+2.70%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SUNE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -74.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 10.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 84.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 13 industry peers
SUNE — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under Off-Balance…
Dated 2026-10-15
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information set forth in
Why it matters: SUNation reports losses and puts cash preservation first. The next report can show whether lower bills and debt protect its limited cash.
Watch forThe next report shows cash above $1.7 million and loans payable below $4.93 million.
Also watch forThe next report shows cash below $1.7 million or loans payable above $4.93 million.
Why it matters: Suniva says the funds will build a 4.5 GW plant. Progress matters to the value of the merger's manufacturing business.
Watch forSuniva reports the Laurens plant is funded and on track for late 2027. Offtake deals cover most planned output.
Also watch forSuniva reports a funding gap, a major construction delay, or loss of key offtake deals.
Why it matters: Commercial work is helping offset weaker home solar sales. A further rise would show this revenue stream is growing.
Supportive ifA later quarter reports commercial revenue above Q2's $1.72 million.
Worry ifA later quarter reports commercial revenue at or below Q1's $1.47 million.
Why it matters: Q2 revenue rose from Q1 but remained far below last year. Another drop would show the post-tax-credit slump is still weighing on sales.
Worry ifQ3 consolidated revenue is less than $7.2 million, the Q1 2026 level.
Less concerning ifQ3 consolidated revenue is more than $8.2 million, the Q2 2026 level.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$336 on $10,000 · ±3.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,164 loss on $10,000 · 11.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,701 loss on $10,000 · 67.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.