Savers Value Village, Inc. (SVV)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SVV
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $10 SVV trades at 23× p/e — 2.0× the 11× p/e peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $8.77 fair value is low-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $12.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $10.14 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $12.80 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $5.38 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| 12M |
| $7.45 |
| 8.9 |
| 1.34 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $7.30 | 14.2 | 0.51 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $5.18 | 11.3 | 0.46 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $4.28 | 0.4 | 10.66 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $25.23 | 54.9 | 0.46 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $3.67 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $5.14 | 11.3 | 0.46 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $8.17 | 14.2 | 0.57 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $7.88 | 11.3 | 0.70 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $5.25 | 0.4 | 13.08 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $38.38 | 54.9 | 0.70 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $8.80 | 14.2 | 0.62 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $10.42 | 11.3 | 0.93 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $5.75 | 0.4 | 14.33 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $50.76 | 54.9 | 0.93 | Analyst | medium |