Stran & Co Inc (SWAG)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesAdvertising AgenciesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$1.310.00%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesAdvertising AgenciesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SWAG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -62.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 8.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 71.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 2 industry peers
SWAG — officer change
Dated 2026-02-20
The filing details compensation and equity awards to existing officers, not a management change.
Why it matters: Management lists acquisitions as a priority, but reported synergy gains are not yet clear. A named deal and results would make progress easier to track.
Watch forA company filing names a business it acquired. A later report shows its sales or profit contribution.
Also watch forNo filing names a completed acquisition. Or, a later update reports integration costs but no stated gains.
Why it matters: SLS moved from a loss to a profit in Q1. Another loss would weaken evidence that the former Gander business is improving.
Watch forThe next report shows SLS operating income above $0.
Also watch forThe next report shows SLS operating income below $0.
Why it matters: Q1 revenue rose 8.9%, and EBITDA turned positive. Q3 results test whether that growth and profit lasted.
Watch forQ3 revenue is above $31.2 million and EBITDA is above $0.
Also watch forQ3 revenue is below $31.2 million or EBITDA is below $0.
Why it matters: Q1 gross margin rose to 30.9% from 29.6%. A margin drop would weaken the profit growth story.
Watch forA later quarter reports gross margin above 30.9%.
Also watch forA later quarter reports gross margin below 29.6%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$194 on $10,000 · ±1.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $604 loss on $10,000 · 6.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,209 loss on $10,000 · 62.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Stran named a large gaming deal, two law firms, and a contract extension. Repeat sales would back its plan for steadier growth.
Supportive ifA company update reports repeat orders or more work from these clients. It also reports revenue growth year over year.
Worry ifA company update reports lost client work or revenue below $31.2 million in a later quarter.