SWK Holdings Corp. (SWKHL)
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Credit ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$25.56+0.39%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Credit ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SWKHL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 5.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -16.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 21.3 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of — · Company calendar date is not available
SWKHL — officer change
Dated 2026-04-06
All officers and directors ceased their roles due to a merger.
Why it matters: This index affects inflation expectations and can influence interest rates. Changes here may impact SWK's cost structure.
Watch forPPI shows a month-over-month increase above 0.3%.
Also watch forPPI shows a month-over-month decrease below 0.1%.
Why it matters: Higher CPI growth may cause tighter monetary policy. This could change SWK's costs.
Worry ifCPI growth reported above 3% year over year.
Less concerning ifCPI growth remains below 2% year over year.
Why it matters: The merger will show the company's future plans and stability. Investors need to know how the new setup will work.
Watch forA press release says operations are working well after the merger.
Also watch forAn announcement says there are big problems or delays in the merger.
Why it matters: More people are claiming unemployment. This could show that the economy is weak. This affects SWK's business.
Worry ifUnemployment Insurance Weekly Claims are over 300,000 for two weeks in a row.
Less concerning ifUnemployment Insurance Weekly Claims are under 300,000 for two weeks in a row.
Why it matters: Retail sales data shows how much consumers spend. This can impact SWK's revenue.
Watch forRetail sales increase month-over-month by more than 0.5%.
Also watch forRetail sales decrease month-over-month by more than 0.2%.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth would signal a slowdown in the financial sector's growth phase.
Worry ifRevenue growth falls below the median of 13% over the past three years.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth remains at or above the median of 13%.
Why it matters: If revenue growth falls below the median, it may signal a slowdown in SWK's performance compared to peers.
Worry ifSWK's revenue growth drops below the sector median of 13%.
Less concerning ifSWK maintains revenue growth at or above the sector median.
Why it matters: This report will show job growth and economic health. It will affect how the market feels.
Watch forJob growth is better than expected. This shows the labor market is strong.
Also watch forJob growth is less than expected. This shows the economy is weak.
Why it matters: Lower GDP growth may mean a weaker economy. This could hurt SWK Holdings' performance.
Worry ifGDP growth reported below 2% in the second estimate on August 26, 2026.
Less concerning ifGDP growth reported at 2% or higher in the second estimate.
Why it matters: CPI shows us how inflation works. High inflation can cause stricter money rules. This impacts SWK's business.
Watch forCPI rises month-over-month by more than 0.4%.
Also watch forCPI falls month-over-month by less than 0.1%.
Why it matters: More unemployment claims may show the economy is weak. This could hurt SWK's performance.
Worry ifWeekly unemployment claims go up a lot compared to last week.
Less concerning ifWeekly unemployment claims decrease or stay stable.
Why it matters: The FOMC decides on interest rates. These decisions can affect SWK's costs and investment plans.
Watch forFOMC raises interest rates by 25 basis points.
Also watch forFOMC holds interest rates steady or cuts rates.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$12 on $10,000 · ±0.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $41 loss on $10,000 · 0.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $140 loss on $10,000 · 1.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.