Skyworks Solutions (SWKS)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-07-07
$59.76-3.47%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $59.76. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $60 SWKS trades at 10× p/e, below its 73× p/e peer median. Our $114 fair value sits well above the price. We hold it with low confidence: our number sits well above the analyst range and our valuation methods disagree. Analysts target $46–$85. Note: our $114 fair value sits above the entire analyst range ($46–$85). Not investment advice.
$46.00 – $85.00 (median $75.00) · 9 analysts · as of 2026-06-23
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $6.21/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $75.00 | — | — | Analyst | low |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $33.22 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | low |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $38.38 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | low |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $9.13 | — | — | TTM | low |
| graham number | 12M | $70.56 | — | — | TTM | low |
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $234.78 | 73.4 | 3.20 | Mgmt | low |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $232.76 | 50.3 | 4.63 | TTM | low |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $424.08 | 73.4 | 5.78 | TTM | low |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $271.32 | 10.5 | 25.88 | TTM | low |
| residual income | 12M | $48.88 | — | — | TTM | low |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $72.17 | 12.5 | 5.78 | TTM | low |
| triangulated | 12M | $433.83 | 73.4 | 5.91 | Triangulated | low |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $176.16 | 73.4 | 2.40 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $131.00 | 50.3 | 2.60 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $486.59 | 73.4 | 6.63 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $305.88 | 10.5 | 29.18 | guidance | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $82.81 | 12.5 | 6.63 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $145.46 | 73.4 | 1.98 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $89.30 | 50.3 | 1.78 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $535.90 | 73.4 | 7.30 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $336.88 | 10.5 | 32.13 | guidance | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $91.20 | 12.5 | 7.30 | Analyst | medium |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.