Skyworks Solutions (SWKS)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$74.02+3.52%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SWKS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -10.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -1.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 9.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 71 industry peers
SWKS — government funding
Dated 2026-09-01
by reference. Safe Harbor Statement This report includes “forward-looking statements.” Forward-looking statements relate to future events, including, but not limited to, the Exchange Offers and the Mergers, as applicable. These forward-looking statements include information relating to future events, prospects, expectations and results of Skyworks (e.g., certain projections and business trends, including with respect to future sales and revenue, as well as plans for dividend payments). Forwar…
Why it matters: The share buyback program shows management's confidence. It can help improve returns for shareholders.
Supportive ifThey announced buybacks of at least $500 million.
Worry ifNo major buybacks were done or announced in the next quarter.
Why it matters: The merger's success will impact Skyworks' growth and financial health. It could lead to new opportunities or challenges.
Watch forThe merger with Qorvo is done. It creates operational benefits.
Also watch forThe merger does not close. It faces big regulatory problems.
Why it matters: This guidance shows growth expectations and market demand. It shows business momentum.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue was over $1,060 million.
Worry ifQ3 revenue reported below $1,010 million.
Why it matters: Litigation may delay or complicate the merger. This could hurt investor confidence.
Worry ifUpdates show that solving legal issues may help the merger move faster.
Less concerning ifNew legal issues may threaten the merger's completion.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$242 on $10,000 · ±2.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $500 loss on $10,000 · 5.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,524 loss on $10,000 · 35.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Sustaining growth in this segment is crucial for overall revenue health and reflects market demand.
Supportive ifBroad Markets segment shows year-over-year growth above 5%.
Worry ifBroad Markets segment growth falls below 5% YoY.
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows steady cash flow. It reassures investors about financial health.
Supportive ifThe dividend per share remains at $0.71 or increases.
Worry ifThe dividend per share is cut or suspended.
Why it matters: Beating EPS goals shows strong profits. It shows good cost control and boosts investor trust.
Supportive ifNon-GAAP EPS for Q3 exceeds the guidance of $1.03.
Worry ifNon-GAAP EPS for Q3 falls below the guidance of $1.03.
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows financial strength. A cut may mean bigger problems.
Watch forManagement confirms the dividend per share will stay the same or go up.
Also watch forManagement announces a cut to the dividend per share.
Why it matters: A successful conversion would prove the growth plan works. It would help revenue long-term.
Supportive ifRevenue from the Android OEM design win exceeds $100 million within the next year.
Worry ifNo revenue from the Android OEM design win reported in the next year.
Why it matters: The result will affect Skyworks' finances and future growth.
Watch forMost Qorvo Notes are submitted by the September 1 deadline.
Also watch forLess than 50% of Qorvo Notes are tendered by the September 1 deadline.
Why it matters: Securing these wins would indicate strong future revenue and market share in mobile.
Supportive ifA new multi-generational design win is announced. It is worth over $1 billion.
Worry ifNo new significant design wins announced in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Securing large design wins signals strong market position and future revenue growth.
Supportive ifAnnounce a new automotive design win worth over $1 billion.
Worry ifNo new big automotive design wins were announced.
Why it matters: New funding could enhance Skyworks' growth opportunities in key markets.
Watch forThe government announced new funding of over $100 million.
Also watch forNo new government funding announcements in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Securing new design wins is crucial for long-term revenue growth in the mobile segment.
Supportive ifA new design win was announced with a major Android OEM. This is a big deal.
Worry ifNo new design wins were announced. This shows possible problems in getting future contracts.
Why it matters: New design wins in these sectors are crucial for future revenue growth. They show market demand and innovation.
Supportive ifThere are new design wins in automotive and data center areas.
Worry ifNo new significant design wins announced in these sectors.
Why it matters: Closing the merger is key for growth and market positioning. It could boost revenue and efficiency.
Supportive ifThe merger will close by the end of 2026. This is confirmed by approvals.
Worry ifThe merger fails to close or is delayed beyond 2026.