SunCoke Energy, Inc. (SXC)
NYSEMaterialsSteelSnapshot 2026-09-04
$10.33+1.37%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsSteelSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SXC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -9.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -2.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 6.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 7 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SXC — dividend update
Dated 2026-07-30
Other Events. On July 30, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing the declaration of its quarterly cash dividend. A copy of this press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.3 and is incorporated herein by reference. Safe Harbor Statement Statements contained in the exhibits to this report that state the Company’s or management’s expectations or predictions of the future are forward-looking statements intended to be covered by the safe harbor provisions of the Securities Act of…
Why it matters: This extension matters. It helps with future income and steady operations.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of a renewed supply agreement with U.S. Steel.
Worry ifNo announcement or failure to extend the agreement by Q4 2026.
Why it matters: Paying dividends shows good financial health. It also supports shareholders.
Supportive ifQuarterly cash dividend of $0.12 per share declared for Q3 2026.
Worry ifNo cash dividend declared for Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Management's view on making money can affect investor trust. A good outlook may help the stock.
Supportive ifManagement gives guidance showing a way to make money in the next quarters.
Worry ifManagement has a negative view on making money for the near future.
Why it matters: Staying in this range shows good capital use and helps financial health.
Watch forCapital spending is between $90 million and $100 million for 2026.
Also watch forCapital spending is over $100 million for 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$176 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $391 loss on $10,000 · 3.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,189 loss on $10,000 · 31.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The materials sector is in decline. Positive growth could signal a recovery for SunCoke.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth turns positive after being near -1 percent.
Worry ifSector revenue growth is still negative. This shows ongoing decline.
Why it matters: Management raised the full-year guidance to $250M-$265M. This shows confidence in ongoing performance.
Supportive ifManagement says Q3 2026 EBITDA will be over $250 million.
Worry ifManagement says Q3 2026 EBITDA will be under $250 million.
Why it matters: Staying within this range shows good capital management. It affects future growth plans.
Supportive ifCAPEX reported at or below $100M for 2026.
Worry ifCAPEX reported above $100M for 2026.
Why it matters: Meeting this goal would show recovery from the Haverhill I shutdown. It would help annual sales.
Supportive ifQ3 Domestic Coke sales volumes reported at or above 900K tons.
Worry ifQ3 Domestic Coke sales volumes were below 850K tons.