Symbotic Inc (SYM)
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-05
$35.04-6.58%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SYM
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -22.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 32.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 54.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 47 industry peers
SYM — litigation filed
Dated 2026-10-29
Regulation FD Disclosure. On October 29, 2026, Symbotic issued a press release announcing the Commercial Agreement described above. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. Such exhibit and the information set forth therein shall not be deemed to be filed for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise be subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed to be incorporated by reference in…
Why it matters: Cash fell from $2.0 billion to $1.7 billion in Q3. A further drop would make cash use worth tracking as work expands.
Worry ifThe next results show cash and cash equivalents below $1.7 billion.
Less concerning ifThe next results show cash at or above $1.7 billion.
Why it matters: More active deployments can support revenue growth. Symbotic cited 77 systems as a base for its growth outlook.
Supportive ifThe next results report more than 77 systems in deployment. Year-over-year revenue growth is above 0%.
Worry ifThe next results report 77 or fewer systems in deployment, or revenue falls year over year.
Why it matters: The deal covers 25 U.S. sites and work over several years. Site launches would show the deal is turning into active work.
Supportive ifSymbotic or Walmart names the first sites set to deploy under the agreement. Symbotic reports those systems as in deployment.
Worry ifThe companies disclose a delay, cut, or end to the 25-site plan or its roughly $6 billion commitment.
Why it matters: Recent results show higher operating income and revenue. Further gains would support the company's focus on growth with better profits.
Supportive ifThe next results show both revenue and operating income above their prior-year levels.
Worry ifRevenue rises from a year ago, but operating income falls below its level a year ago.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$249 on $10,000 · ±2.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $716 loss on $10,000 · 7.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,986 loss on $10,000 · 59.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Symbotic's Q4 outlook tests whether growth and profit gains continue. The company tied growth to 77 systems in deployment.
Supportive ifIn the November 23 results, Q4 revenue is at least $760 million and adjusted EBITDA is at least $100 million.
Worry ifQ4 revenue is below $760 million or adjusted EBITDA is less than $100 million.