Symbotic Inc (SYM)
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
$42.94+3.22%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SYM
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -13.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 34.2% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 47.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 63 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SYM — earnings in line
Dated 2026-08-05
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On August 5, 2026, Symbotic Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results and other information for the fiscal quarter ended June 27, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated by reference herein. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for any purpose, including for the purpos…
Why it matters: Meeting or beating guidance shows strong demand. This supports growth for Symbotic.
Supportive ifQ4 revenue reported at $760 million or higher.
Worry ifQ4 revenue reported below $760 million.
Why it matters: More deployments signal growing demand for Symbotic's systems. It supports revenue growth.
Supportive ifTotal systems in use is now over 77.
Worry ifTotal systems in deployment stays at or below 77.
Why it matters: Hitting this target would show profit growth. It also shows better operations.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA is $100 million or more.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA is less than $100 million.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if the company can improve its loss-making status. Investors will look for signs of recovery.
Watch forQ2 earnings show a reduction in losses compared to the previous quarter.
Also watch forQ2 earnings report shows bigger losses than last quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$284 on $10,000 · ±2.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $737 loss on $10,000 · 7.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,622 loss on $10,000 · 56.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: New contracts show a growing market and more customers for Symbotic.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of at least two new customer contracts.
Worry ifNo new customer contracts announced in Q4.
Why it matters: If the sector's revenue growth speeds up, it could help Symbotic's performance. This would signal a stronger market environment.
Watch forSector revenue growth speeds up above 5% each year.
Also watch forSector revenue growth slows below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Better cash flow means improved cash management. It also shows better operations.
Supportive ifCash from operations is above $261 million.
Worry ifCash from operations is below $261 million.
Why it matters: Additional board changes could indicate a shift in strategic direction. This may impact future growth and governance.
Watch forA new board member with useful experience has been announced.
Also watch forNo further changes to the board after Pagliuca's appointment.