Sysco (SYY)
NYSEConsumer StaplesFood DistributionSnapshot 2026-07-07
$84.58+0.42%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $84.58. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $85 SYY trades at 20× p/e, in line with its 19× p/e peer median — but our blended $68 fair value sits below the price. It's a high-confidence read. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $4.29/sh owner earnings.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $85.59 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $76.20 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $38.20 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $21.19 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $87.60 | 19.3 | 4.55 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $106.24 | 16.9 | 7.80 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $84.46 | 20.3 | 4.15 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $80.47 | 19.3 | 4.18 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $295.36 | 1.7 | 173.67 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $205.69 | 49.2 | 4.18 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $19.63 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $79.53 | 19.0 | 4.18 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $80.72 | 19.3 | 4.19 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $147.67 | 19.3 | 7.67 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $99.76 | 20.3 | 4.90 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $101.24 | 19.3 | 5.26 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $332.15 | 1.7 | 195.29 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $258.78 | 49.2 | 5.26 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $100.06 | 19.0 | 5.26 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $209.17 | 19.3 | 10.87 | Mgmt(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $111.48 | 20.3 | 5.48 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $114.00 | 19.3 | 5.92 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $374.00 | 1.7 | 219.90 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $291.39 | 49.2 | 5.92 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $112.67 | 19.0 | 5.92 | Analyst | high |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.