Sysco (SYY)
NYSEConsumer StaplesFood DistributionSnapshot 2026-09-04
$80.05-1.27%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesFood DistributionSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SYY
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 21.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 4.9% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 16.2 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 4 industry peers
SYY — credit agreement
Dated 2026-09-04
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement On April 16, 2026, Sysco Corporation (“ Sysco ” or the “ Company ”), a Delaware corporation, and its wholly-owned subsidiaries, Sysco Canada, Inc., a British Columbia corporation, and Sysco Global Holdings B.V., a Netherlands limited liability company, entered into a Credit Agreement with Bank of America, N.A., as the administrative agent, and the lenders and guarantors party thereto (the “ Revolving Credit Agreement ”). On September 4, 2026, Sysco e…
Why it matters: Changes in leadership can affect how a company runs. Smooth changes can make investors feel secure.
Watch forLook for a smooth CFO transition without any issues.
Also watch forReports of issues or delays in the CFO transition.
Why it matters: Exceeding this target shows strong demand and good operations.
Supportive ifU.S. local volume growth reported above 2.5% for Q4 2026.
Worry ifU.S. local volume growth reported below 2.5% for Q4 2026.
Why it matters: Volume growth trends show strong demand. They also show good operations in the foodservice sector.
Watch forU.S. Broadline volume growth reported above 5% year over year.
Also watch forU.S. Broadline volume growth reported below 0% year over year.
Why it matters: Negative changes would show problems with costs or demand. This might hurt investor trust.
Worry ifManagement reaffirms or raises EPS guidance for fiscal 2026.
Less concerning ifManagement cuts EPS guidance for fiscal 2026.
Why it matters: This acquisition is key for Sysco's growth strategy. Approval would signal progress in expanding its market presence.
Supportive ifApproval is granted. The acquisition can move forward as planned.
Worry ifApproval is denied or delayed. This will slow down the acquisition.
Why it matters: Changes in inflation can affect Sysco's profits and margins.
Watch forProduct cost inflation rates decrease below 2.8% in the next quarter.
Also watch forProduct cost inflation rates increase above 3.5% in the next quarter.
Why it matters: This program is key for better margins and efficiency.
Watch for$100 million in cost savings came from AI and better operations.
Also watch forCost savings are much lower than $100 million for FY27.
Why it matters: Closing this acquisition would enhance Sysco's market position and growth potential. It is a key part of Sysco's strategy.
Supportive ifRegulatory approvals are in. This lets the acquisition close on time.
Worry ifRegulatory approvals are late or denied. This stops the acquisition from closing.
Why it matters: Saving $100 million would show that Sysco's AI efforts are working.
Supportive ifSysco reports achieving or exceeding the $100 million cost savings target in FY27.
Worry ifCost savings are less than $100 million. This shows problems with AI use.
Why it matters: Keeping this growth is key for Sysco's revenue and shows good market plans.
Supportive ifLocal volume growth in U.S. Foodservice exceeds 2.5% for two consecutive quarters.
Worry ifLocal volume growth is under 2.5%. This may mean losing market share.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show how Sysco is growing and how well it runs.
Watch forQ1 FY27 adjusted EPS growth exceeds 9% as guided.
Also watch forQ1 FY27 adjusted EPS growth is under 9%. This may mean operational problems.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$71 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $213 loss on $10,000 · 2.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,398 loss on $10,000 · 24.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.