Sysco (SYY)
NYSEConsumer StaplesFood DistributionSnapshot 2026-11-04
$76.94+3.82%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesFood DistributionSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SYY
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 7.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 4.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 3.0 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 1 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SYY — capital allocation — Creation
Dated 2026-10-06
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information included in
Why it matters: The report is the next check on sales, profit, and case growth. Those figures test Sysco’s stated FY27 plan.
Watch forOn November 3, Sysco keeps its FY27 sales growth range of 6%–7% and adjusted EPS range of $5.02–$5.12.
Also watch forOn November 3, Sysco cuts either FY27 range or reports local case growth below 2.0%.
Why it matters: Sysco tied its sales plan to local case growth. Staying near 2.5% would support its sales target.
Supportive ifFY27 U.S. Foodservice local case growth is at or above 2.5% on a comparable 52-week basis.
Worry ifFY27 local case growth falls below 2.0% on a comparable 52-week basis.
Why it matters: Sysco reaffirmed this profit range and linked it to 9%–11% growth. A miss would weaken that plan.
Watch forFY27 adjusted EPS lands at or above $5.02, within the $5.02–$5.12 range.
Also watch forFY27 adjusted EPS lands below $5.02 or Sysco cuts the range.
Why it matters: The multi-year program supports Sysco’s higher profit growth goal. Reported savings can test whether it delivers.
Supportive ifBy FY29, Sysco reports at least $500 million in yearly savings from AI efficiency.
Worry ifSysco reports less than $500 million by FY29 or pushes the target past FY29.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$77 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $213 loss on $10,000 · 2.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,398 loss on $10,000 · 24.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Sysco says $100 million in savings is part of its FY27 plan. Results can show whether the effort is working.
Supportive ifSysco reports at least $100 million in FY27 net cost savings from its AI and efficiency work.
Worry ifSysco reports savings below $100 million for FY27 or removes this target.
Why it matters: The deal adds debt and brings integration work. The close date and stated deal benefits are key checks.
Watch forSysco closes the Jetro Restaurant Depot deal by the end of Q3 FY27. No new delay or major approval condition occurs.
Also watch forThe deal is still open after Q3 FY27, ends, or faces a new major approval condition.