TransAct Technologies Inc (TACT)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-09-04
$5.14-0.39%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TACT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -72.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 7.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 80.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 19 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
TACT — CEO transition
Dated 2026-05-12
CFO — Steven A. DeMartino: Steven A. DeMartino is retiring as CFO, and Robert Campbell will succeed him.
Why it matters: Meeting this revenue target supports the goal of reaching $55-$57 million for 2026.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue reported at or above $14.5 million.
Worry ifQ2 revenue reported below $14.5 million.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if TransAct can improve its loss-making status. Investors will look for signs of recovery.
Watch forEarnings report shows a smaller loss or a profit compared to the previous quarter.
Also watch forEarnings report shows a larger loss than the previous quarter.
Why it matters: Hitting this target shows progress toward the 2026 EBITDA goal of $0.8-$1.5 million.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA reported at or above $800,000 for Q2.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA was below $800,000 for Q2.
Why it matters: Stable leaders can help focus operations and build investor trust.
Supportive ifManagement said good things about how the new CFO is helping operations.
Worry ifThere are negative reports or problems from the CFO change.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$211 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $595 loss on $10,000 · 6.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,849 loss on $10,000 · 18.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Sector headwinds could affect TransAct's growth. Monitoring this helps gauge overall performance.
Worry ifTransAct's Q2 revenue growth is below 5% year over year.
Less concerning ifTransAct's Q2 revenue growth exceeds 10% year over year.
Why it matters: The new CFO's plans may affect financial performance and investor trust.
Watch forThe new CFO outlines a clear strategic plan that aligns with growth targets.
Also watch forNo clear strategic direction is provided by the new CFO.
Why it matters: Growth in this area is important for total revenue and profit.
Supportive ifCasino and gaming sales increase by more than 20% year-over-year in the next quarter.
Worry ifCasino and gaming sales growth is below 10% compared to last year.
Why it matters: This would signal a slowdown in the strong sales momentum seen in Q1.
Worry ifIn Q2 2026, net sales grew less than 10% from last year.
Less concerning ifQ2 2026 net sales growth reported at or above 10% year-over-year.
Why it matters: If revenue growth falls below median, it signals a slowdown in the sector. This could hurt TransAct's performance.
Worry ifTransAct reports revenue growth below the median for the sector.
Less concerning ifTransAct reports revenue growth above the median for the sector.
Why it matters: Continued growth in recurring revenue shows strong demand for TransAct's software solutions. This supports the company's shift to a recurring revenue model.
Supportive ifRecurring FST revenue grows year over year by more than 26% in Q2.
Worry ifRecurring FST revenue growth is less than 20% year over year in Q2.
Why it matters: The share repurchase program shows that management believes in the company's future. It can help the share price.
Supportive ifThe company repurchases at least $1 million worth of shares within the next 6 months.
Worry ifNo share repurchases are reported in the next 6 months.
Why it matters: M&A can enhance growth and expand market reach. It is a key part of the company's growth strategy.
Supportive ifThe company will announce at least one acquisition or partnership in the next 6 months.
Worry ifNo announcements related to M&A activities in the next 6 months.