Talkspace, Inc. (TALK)
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$5.250.00%
Close 2026-08-18 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TALK
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 229.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 27.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 202.4 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 13 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
TALK — M&A activity — Changes in Control of Registrant
Dated 2026-08-17
Changes in Control of Registrant. As a result of the consummation of the Merger, a change of control of the Company occurred on the Closing Date and the Company became an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of Parent. The total amount of cash consideration payable to the Company’s equityholders in connection with the Merger and pursuant to the Merger Agreement was approximately $870.6 million. The funds used by Parent to consummate the Merger and complete the related transactions came from borro…
Why it matters: The merger is closed. Keeping providers and health plan ties can protect access to Talkspace care.
Worry ifUHS reports that most Talkspace providers and health plan ties remain in place, with no major service cuts.
Less concerning ifUHS reports a large loss of Talkspace providers or health plan ties, or a major break in care access.
Why it matters: Revenue was about $61.7 million in both Q1 and Q2. A miss would show that growth is still weak.
Worry ifReported 2026 revenue is below $275 million, the low end of the stated range.
Less concerning ifReported 2026 revenue reaches at least $275 million and stays within the $275 million to $290 million range.
Why it matters: Talkspace is still loss-making by the current quality signal. Meeting its EBITDA range would show progress toward profit.
Worry ifReported 2026 adjusted EBITDA is below $30 million, the low end of the stated range.
Less concerning ifReported 2026 adjusted EBITDA is at least $30 million and stays within the $30 million to $35 million range.
Why it matters: UHS said the deal would connect virtual, outpatient, and inpatient care. A live link would show that the combined care path is taking shape.
Supportive ifUHS names a care path that sends Talkspace patients to UHS outpatient or inpatient care, or sends UHS patients to Talkspace care.
Worry ifUHS reports no live care links between Talkspace and its care sites, or reports that integration work has stopped.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$19 on $10,000 · ±0.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $336 loss on $10,000 · 3.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,377 loss on $10,000 · 13.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.