Turtle Beach Corp. (TBCH)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyConsumer ElectronicsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$12.48-0.32%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyConsumer ElectronicsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TBCH
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -57.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 19.7% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 77.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 4 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
TBCH — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-06
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 6, 2026, Turtle Beach Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for its quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of that press release and the attached financial schedules are attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this report and incorporated herein by reference. The information in this report (including Exhibit 99.1) is being furnished pursuant to
Why it matters: Meeting adjusted EBITDA goals means the company is making more money. It also shows better performance.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA for Q3 falls between $44 million and $48 million.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA for Q3 falls below $44 million.
Why it matters: News about share buybacks can show that management believes in the company's worth.
Supportive ifManagement plans to increase share buybacks beyond the current $31 million limit.
Worry ifNo further share repurchases are announced, or the program is paused.
Why it matters: This major game release could drive increased demand for Turtle Beach products.
Supportive ifSuccessful launch of Grand Theft Auto VI leads to a spike in accessory sales.
Worry ifThe launch does not boost sales or consumer interest much.
Why it matters: A smooth transition helps keep investor trust and business running well.
Supportive ifNo big operational problems were reported in the three months after the CFO change.
Worry ifThere are big problems with operations or finances after the change.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$208 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $535 loss on $10,000 · 5.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,067 loss on $10,000 · 40.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The CFO change affects the financial plan and stability. Strong leadership can help investors.
Watch forA permanent CFO has been appointed.
Also watch forNo announcement of a permanent CFO by Q3 2026.
Why it matters: If revenue goes up, it shows management believes in a stronger second half of 2026.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue grows more than 5% compared to last year. This matches management's guidance.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth remains flat or declines year-over-year.
Why it matters: The Information Technology sector is slowing. This could impact Turtle Beach's growth.
Worry ifSector revenue growth has been below its median for two months in a row.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median.
Why it matters: If net revenue goes up, it shows management expects more demand in late 2026.
Supportive ifQ3 net revenue is over $56 million. This shows recovery from Q2's drop.
Worry ifQ3 net revenue is under $56 million. This suggests demand is still weak.
Why it matters: Staying above $1 million means better profits. It also shows smoother operations.
Supportive ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA is over $1 million. This confirms good progress.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA is below $1 million. This shows a drop in profits.